On the Performance of Some Estimation Methods in Models with Heteroscedasticity and Autocorrelated Disturbances (A Monte-Carlo Approach)

O. Ayansola, A. Adejumo
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Abstract

The proliferation of panel data studies has been greatly motivated by the availability of data and capacity for modelling the complexity of human behaviour than a single cross-section or time series data and these led to the rise of challenging methodologies for estimating the data set. It is pertinent that, in practice, panel data are bound to exhibit autocorrelation or heteroscedasticity or both. In view of the fact that the presence of heteroscedasticity and autocorrelated errors in panel data models biases the standard errors and leads to less efficient results. This study deemed it fit to search for estimator that can handle the presence of these twin problems when they co- exists in panel data. Therefore, robust inference in the presence of these problems needs to be simultaneously addressed. The Monte-Carlo simulation method was designed to investigate the finite sample properties of five estimation methods: Between Estimator (BE), Feasible Generalized Least Square (FGLS), Maximum Estimator (ME) and Modified Maximum Estimator (MME), including a new Proposed Estimator (PE) in the simulated data infected with heteroscedasticity and autocorrelated errors. The results of the root mean square error and absolute bias criteria, revealed that Proposed Estimator in the presence of these problems is asymptotically more efficient and consistent than other estimators in the class of the estimators in the study. This is experienced in all combinatorial level of autocorrelated errors in remainder error and fixed heteroscedastic individual effects. For this reason, PE has better performance among other estimators.
论具有异方差和自相关扰动的模型中某些估计方法的性能(蒙特卡罗方法)
与单一横截面或时间序列数据相比,面板数据的可用性和模拟人类行为复杂性的能力极大地推动了面板数据研究的发展,这也导致了具有挑战性的数据集估算方法的兴起。与此相关的是,在实践中,面板数据必然会表现出自相关性或异方差性,或两者兼而有之。鉴于面板数据模型中存在的异方差和自相关误差会使标准误差产生偏差,导致结果效率降低。本研究认为,当面板数据中同时存在这两个问题时,寻找能够处理这两个问题的估计器是合适的。因此,需要同时解决存在这些问题时的稳健推断问题。我们设计了蒙特卡洛模拟方法来研究五种估计方法的有限样本特性:这五种估计方法分别是:间估计法(BE)、可行广义最小二乘法(FGLS)、最大估计法(ME)和修正最大估计法(MME),包括一种新的拟估计法(PE)。均方根误差和绝对偏差标准的结果表明,在存在这些问题的情况下,拟议估计器在渐进上比研究中估计器类别中的其他估计器更有效、更一致。这一点在余数误差和固定异方差个体效应的自相关误差的所有组合水平上都有体现。因此,PE 在其他估计器中具有更好的性能。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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