Epidemiological Situation on Plague around the World. Forecast of Epizootic Activity of Natural Plague Foci in the Russian Federation for 2024

Problems of Particularly Dangerous Infections Pub Date : 2024-04-02 DOI:10.21055/0370-1069-2024-1-67-75

N. V. Popov, I. G. Karnaukhov, A. A. Kuznetsov, A. Matrosov, A. V. Ivanova, K. S. Martsokha, E. Kuklev, V. M. Korzun, D. Verzhutsky, E. V. Chipanin, A. V. Kholin, A. A. Lopatin, V. Dubyansky, U. Ashibokov, A. Gazieva, I. Kutyrev, S. V. Balakhonov, A. Kulichenko, V. V. Kutyrev

{"title":"Epidemiological Situation on Plague around the World. Forecast of Epizootic Activity of Natural Plague Foci in the Russian Federation for 2024","authors":"N. V. Popov, I. G. Karnaukhov, A. A. Kuznetsov, A. Matrosov, A. V. Ivanova, K. S. Martsokha, E. Kuklev, V. M. Korzun, D. Verzhutsky, E. V. Chipanin, A. V. Kholin, A. A. Lopatin, V. Dubyansky, U. Ashibokov, A. Gazieva, I. Kutyrev, S. V. Balakhonov, A. Kulichenko, V. V. Kutyrev","doi":"10.21055/0370-1069-2024-1-67-75","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"The aim of the review was to assess the epidemiological situation in natural plague foci in the Russian Federation, near and far abroad countries in 2023 and to forecast their epizootic activity for 2024. In 2023, cases of plague were registered in five countries worldwide: the Democratic Republic of the Congo (60 cases), the Republic of Madagascar (14), the United States of America (2), the People’s Republic of China (3), and Mongolia (5). A total of 84 cases of plague were recorded, of which 22 (26.2 %) were fatal. In the Russian Federation, in 2023, epidemic risks in epizootically active natural foci were significantly reduced due to the implementation of a set of preventive measures carried out by Rospotrebnadzor institutions, which was the guarantor of ensuring epidemiological well-being as regards plague. Plague epizootics were detected on the territory of two (Gorno-Altai high-mountain and Tuva mountain) out of 11 natural plague foci in the Russian Federation in 2023. Epizootics were reported on the territory of the Kosh-Agach district of the Altai Republic and the Mongun-Taiginsky kozhuun of the Tuva Republic. The total area of epizootics was 731.2 km2 (in 2022 – 248.3 km2). In total, 55 cultures of the antique biovar of the main subspecies Yersinia pestis pestis were isolated in 2023 (19 in 2022). The forecast for continuation of the tense epidemiological situation in the territory of the Altai and Tuva Republics in 2024 is substantiated. The trend of sustained growth in the epizootic potential of the East Caucasus high-mountain and Dagestan plain-piedmont plague foci is outlined. The prospects for introducing an automated electronic system for assessing the epidemic potential of natural plague foci into practice are explained.","PeriodicalId":516710,"journal":{"name":"Problems of Particularly Dangerous Infections","volume":"35 12","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2024-04-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Problems of Particularly Dangerous Infections","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.21055/0370-1069-2024-1-67-75","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Abstract

The aim of the review was to assess the epidemiological situation in natural plague foci in the Russian Federation, near and far abroad countries in 2023 and to forecast their epizootic activity for 2024. In 2023, cases of plague were registered in five countries worldwide: the Democratic Republic of the Congo (60 cases), the Republic of Madagascar (14), the United States of America (2), the People’s Republic of China (3), and Mongolia (5). A total of 84 cases of plague were recorded, of which 22 (26.2 %) were fatal. In the Russian Federation, in 2023, epidemic risks in epizootically active natural foci were significantly reduced due to the implementation of a set of preventive measures carried out by Rospotrebnadzor institutions, which was the guarantor of ensuring epidemiological well-being as regards plague. Plague epizootics were detected on the territory of two (Gorno-Altai high-mountain and Tuva mountain) out of 11 natural plague foci in the Russian Federation in 2023. Epizootics were reported on the territory of the Kosh-Agach district of the Altai Republic and the Mongun-Taiginsky kozhuun of the Tuva Republic. The total area of epizootics was 731.2 km2 (in 2022 – 248.3 km2). In total, 55 cultures of the antique biovar of the main subspecies Yersinia pestis pestis were isolated in 2023 (19 in 2022). The forecast for continuation of the tense epidemiological situation in the territory of the Altai and Tuva Republics in 2024 is substantiated. The trend of sustained growth in the epizootic potential of the East Caucasus high-mountain and Dagestan plain-piedmont plague foci is outlined. The prospects for introducing an automated electronic system for assessing the epidemic potential of natural plague foci into practice are explained.

查看原文本刊更多论文

全球鼠疫流行情况。2024 年俄罗斯联邦鼠疫自然疫点的流行活动预测

审查的目的是评估2023年俄罗斯联邦、近邻和远邻国家的鼠疫自然疫点的流行病学情况，并预测2024年的流行病活动。2023 年，全世界有五个国家登记了鼠疫病例：刚果民主共和国（60 例）、马达加斯加共和国（14 例）、美利坚合众国（2 例）、中华人民共和国（3 例）和蒙古国（5 例）。共记录了 84 例鼠疫病例，其中 22 例（26.2%）为死亡病例。在俄罗斯联邦，2023 年，由于 Rospotrebnadzor 机构实施了一系列预防措施，鼠疫流行病的风险大大降低。2023 年，在俄罗斯联邦的 11 个鼠疫自然疫源地中，有两个（戈尔诺-阿尔泰高山和图瓦山）发现了鼠疫流行病。阿尔泰共和国的 Kosh-Agach 地区和图瓦共和国的 Mongun-Taiginsky kozhuun 地区都发生了鼠疫流行。疫区总面积为 731.2 平方公里（2022 年为 248.3 平方公里）。2023 年共分离出 55 个主要亚种鼠疫耶尔森氏菌的古老生物变种（2022 年为 19 个）。预计 2024 年阿尔泰和图瓦共和国境内的流行病形势将持续紧张。概述了东高加索高山和达吉斯坦平原-山麓鼠疫疫点的流行潜力持续增长的趋势。阐述了在实践中引入自动电子系统评估自然鼠疫疫点流行潜力的前景。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

求助全文

约1分钟内获得全文求助全文

来源期刊

Problems of Particularly Dangerous Infections

自引率

0.00%

发文量