Demographic Problems in the Northern Regions of the Republic of Kazakhstan

K. Bodaukhan, Nurgul Shaikenova, Altynay Shilmanova, Marat Bayandin, Zhanerke Kochiygit
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Abstract

This article aims to analyse demographic and migration processes in Kazakhstan, focusing on identifying their impact on society’s economic, political and social aspects. The work methodology is based on comparisons and system-structural methods, such as control, generalization, systematization, logical analysis, and synthesis. The study used two main groups of indicators for 1990-2021. The first group included comparative indicators, such as the relative size of the population structure, the intensity and relative proportions of the structure, and the proportions of the urban and rural population. The second group included migration indicators, such as the number of arrivals to the settlement, the number of departures from the settlement, and absolute migration growth or balance. The study results reveal regional differences, especially in the context of migration processes. There is a negative balance of internal migration and high rates of population decline in the northern regions. In comparison, the southern regions are experiencing population growth, which poses new economic and social challenges. It is predicted that by 2050, the population of the south of regions will increase significantly. The authors emphasize the importance of an integrated approach to solving demographic problems, including improving well-being, providing affordable health care and developing effective demographic policies. In conclusion, it is noted that successfully overcoming demographic challenges requires balanced economic and social measures.
哈萨克斯坦共和国北部地区的人口问题
本文旨在分析哈萨克斯坦的人口和移民进程,重点是确定其对社会经济、政治和社会方面的影响。工作方法基于比较和系统结构方法,如控制、概括、系统化、逻辑分析和综合。研究使用了 1990-2021 年的两大类指标。第一组包括比较指标,如人口结构的相对规模、结构强度和相对比例,以及城市和农村人口的比例。第二组包括移民指标,如迁入定居地的人数、迁出定居地的人数以及移民的绝对增长或平衡。研究结果显示了地区差异,特别是在移民过程方面。北部地区的国内移民出现负平衡,人口下降率较高。相比之下,南部地区的人口增长带来了新的经济和社会挑战。据预测,到 2050 年,南部地区的人口将大幅增加。作者强调了采用综合方法解决人口问题的重要性,包括改善福祉、提供负担得起的医疗保健和制定有效的人口政策。最后,作者指出,要成功克服人口挑战,就必须采取平衡的经济和社会措施。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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