Crisis resilience assessment and management of public utility companies

Irina Tkachenko, Ivan Chechulin
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Currently, the most frequently used models for forecasting the probability of company bankruptcy in the housing and utilities sector lack accuracy. The hypothesis is put forward that crisis resilience of a company can be assessed based on its adaptive capabilities. The paper aims to construct a more accurate compared to the known regression model for predicting bankruptcies, as well as develop models for assessing the quality of crisis adaptation management at public utility companies allowing for the stakeholders’ interests and peculiarities of their interface. The methodological basis of the study consists of the theory of crisis management and a stakeholder approach. The methods include multiple regression analysis, stakeholder mapping, sociological survey, and expert assessments. The evidence comes from the accounting and statistical reporting of 49 public utility companies, materials of arbitration cases, survey results of 33 heads of organisations obtained in the period from February to March 2023. The theoretical developments are implemented within the empirical studies of public utility companies. To improve crisis adaptation and resilience of public utility companies the findings recommend to launch staff training programmes, establish mechanisms for horizontal intra-sectoral connections and maintain cooperation at the level of public authorities in order to control investments in the housing and utilities sector.
公用事业公司的危机复原力评估和管理
目前,住房和公用事业部门最常用的公司破产概率预测模型缺乏准确性。本文提出的假设是,可以根据公司的适应能力来评估公司的危机应变能力。本文旨在构建一个比已知预测破产的回归模型更准确的模型,并开发用于评估公用事业公司危机适应管理质量的模型,同时考虑到利益相关者的利益及其界面的特殊性。研究的方法论基础包括危机管理理论和利益相关者方法。研究方法包括多元回归分析、利益相关者绘图、社会学调查和专家评估。证据来自 49 家公用事业公司的会计和统计报告、仲裁案件材料以及 2023 年 2 月至 3 月期间获得的 33 位组织负责人的调查结果。在对公用事业公司的实证研究中实现了理论发展。为提高公用事业公司的危机适应能力和复原力,研究结果建议启动员工培训计划,建立部门内横向联系机制,并保持公共当局层面的合作,以控制住房和公用事业部门的投资。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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发文量
27
审稿时长
16 weeks
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