Change trend of birth rate of our country population and influence factor analysis

Abstract

On the ground of time series analyses, this paper excavates the trend in preliminary and carries out some short-term forecasts about future birthrate variation in wish to shed light on its solutions. This paper attempts to excavate the influence that several dominant factors exert on birthrates via regression analyses. The cluster analyses are utilized to filter out representative provinces as samples for subsequent research in order to tackle the problem that the correlations between dependant variable and each independent variable is not significant. Wielding SPSS as an analytical tool, we construct the regression model about how price level in combination with education level influences the birthrates.