Resilience in Focus: Rethinking the Risk Matrix

F. Korobeynikov
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Abstract

This research presents a three-dimensional risk matrix model designed for the analysis and prioritisation of critical risks in the context of resilience. Traditional risk assessment methods prevalent in information security, which typically juxtapose the likelihood and consequences of risks, are inadequate for fully capturing the intricacies of critical risks. The proposed three-dimensional model addresses these shortcomings by cohesively integrating the dimensions of likelihood, impact and cost of risk management. This integration provides a holistic tool for resilient risk analysis that goes beyond the capabilities of traditional models. A key feature of this model is its ability to address the complexities associated with critical risks, which are often not adequately addressed by traditional risk matrices due to their stochastic nature and significant potential impact on organisational resilience. By incorporating budgetary constraints into the risk assessment process, the model enables a more objective and quantifiable approach to managing critical risks. It shifts the evaluative focus from a purely probabilistic perspective to a cost-value based assessment, emphasising the balance between potential benefits and mitigation expenditure. This approach not only refines the accuracy of critical risk assessment, but also enhances existing risk management practices, providing a more robust and strategic tool for managing organisational risk.
聚焦复原力:重新思考风险矩阵
本研究提出了一个三维风险矩阵模型,旨在分析和优先处理抗灾能力方面的关键风险。信息安全领域盛行的传统风险评估方法通常将风险的可能性和后果并列,不足以充分捕捉关键风险的复杂性。拟议的三维模型将风险管理的可能性、影响和成本三个维度紧密结合在一起,从而解决了这些不足之处。这种整合为弹性风险分析提供了一个整体工具,超越了传统模型的能力。该模型的一个主要特点是能够解决与关键风险相关的复杂问题,而传统的风险矩阵往往无法充分解决这些问题,因为这些风险具有随机性,对组织的抗灾能力具有重大的潜在影响。通过将预算限制纳入风险评估流程,该模型能够以更加客观和量化的方式管理关键风险。它将评估重点从纯粹的概率角度转移到基于成本价值的评估,强调潜在效益与缓解支出之间的平衡。这种方法不仅能提高关键风险评估的准确性,还能加强现有的风险管理实践,为管理组织风险提供更强大的战略性工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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