MODELING ECONOMIC SECURITY RISKS IN THE IMPLEMENTATION OF PUBLIC-PRIVATE PARTNERSHIP PROJECTS

A. Rumyancev
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Abstract

The modern economy is in a state of unstable, turbulent development. This is caused by a series of macroeconomic shocks (Covid-19 pandemic; anti-Russian sanctions) in recent years. As a result, there is a weakening of economic security at the regional and national levels. It is necessary to expand the range of tools to ensure this. One such tool is public-private partnership (PPP). Traditionally, partnerships are not considered in the context of ensuring economic security. They act as a tool for economic development and satisfaction of socially significant needs. The author's study proposes two approaches to considering PPP in the context of economic security. On the one hand, the implementation of PPP projects stabilizes the economy, i.e. contributes to ensuring economic security. On the other hand, when implementing PPP projects, all stakeholders have to face economic security risks. The author has proposed a 3D model that allows for the assessment and monitoring of such risks. Clear and understandable visualization of risks in the model leads to simplification of decision-making procedures for managing PPP economic security risks.
建立公私合作项目实施过程中的经济安全风险模型
现代经济处于不稳定的动荡发展状态。这是近年来一系列宏观经济冲击(Covid-19 大流行病;反俄罗斯制裁)造成的。因此,地区和国家层面的经济安全受到削弱。有必要扩大确保经济安全的工具范围。公私伙伴关系(PPP)就是这样一种工具。传统上,在确保经济安全的背景下并不考虑伙伴关系。它们是经济发展和满足重大社会需求的工具。作者的研究提出了在经济安全背景下考虑公私伙伴关系的两种方法。一方面,公私伙伴关系项目的实施可以稳定经济,即有助于确保经济安全。另一方面,在实施 PPP 项目时,所有利益相关者都必须面对经济安全风险。作者提出了一种三维模型,可以对此类风险进行评估和监测。模型中风险的可视化清晰易懂,简化了管理 PPP 经济安全风险的决策程序。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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