Inverse problem assisted multivariate geostatistical model for identification of transmissivity fields

Aditya Kapoor, Deepak Kashyap
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Abstract

Groundwater models often require transmissivity (T) fields as an input. These T fields are commonly generated by performing univariate interpolation of the T data. This T data is derived from pumping tests and is generally limited due to the large costs and logistical requirements. Hence T fields generated using this limited data may not be representative for a whole study region. Groundwater models often require transmissivity (T) fields as an input. These T fields are commonly generated by performing univariate interpolation (using kriging, IDW etc.) of the T data. This T data is derived from pumping tests and is generally limited due to the large costs and logistical requirements. Hence, the T fields generated using this limited data may not be representative for the whole study region. This study presents a novel cokriging based methodology to generate credible T fields. Cokriging - a multivariate geostatistical interpolation method permits incorporation of additional correlated auxiliary variables for the generation of enhanced fields. Here abundantly available litholog derived saturated thickness data has been used as secondary (auxiliary) data given its correlation with the primary T data. Additionally, the proposed methodology addresses two operational problems of traditional cokriging procedure. The first operational problem is the poor estimation of variogram and cross-variogram parameters due to sparse T data. The second problem is the determination of relative contributions of primary and secondary variable in the estimation process. These two problems have been resolved by proposing a set of novel non-bias conditions, and linking the interpolator with a head based inverse problem solution for credible estimation of these parameters. The proposed methodology has been applied to Bist doab region in Punjab (India). Additionally, base line studies have been performed to elucidate the superiority of the proposed cokriging based methodology over kriging in terms of head reproducibility.
用于识别透射率场的反问题辅助多元地质统计模型
地下水模型通常需要透射率(T)场作为输入。这些 T 场通常是通过对 T 数据进行单变量插值生成的。这种 T 数据来自抽水试验,由于成本高、物流要求高,一般都很有限。因此,使用这种有限数据生成的 T 场可能无法代表整个研究区域。地下水模型通常需要透射率(T)场作为输入。这些 T 场通常是通过对 T 数据进行单变量插值(使用克里格法、IDW 等)生成的。这些 T 数据来自抽水试验,由于成本高、物流要求高,一般都很有限。因此,利用这些有限数据生成的 T 场可能无法代表整个研究区域。本研究提出了一种基于 Cokriging 的新方法来生成可信的 T 场。Cokriging 是一种多元地质统计插值方法,它允许加入额外的相关辅助变量来生成增强的油气田。在这里,大量可用的岩性推导饱和厚度数据被用作次要(辅助)数据,因为它与主要 T 数据相关。此外,所提出的方法还解决了传统 cokriging 程序的两个操作问题。第一个操作问题是,由于 T 数据稀少,对变异图和交叉变异图参数的估计不准确。第二个问题是如何确定主变量和次变量在估计过程中的相对贡献。为了解决这两个问题,我们提出了一套新颖的非偏置条件,并将内插器与基于头部的反问题解决方案联系起来,以对这些参数进行可靠的估计。所提出的方法已应用于印度旁遮普省的 Bist doab 地区。此外,还进行了基线研究,以阐明所提出的基于 cokriging 的方法在水头重现性方面优于克里金法。
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