DYNAMICS OF CLIMATE PARAMETERS IN THE NORTHWEST REGION OF KAZAKHSTAN

Abstract

The climatic potential of the north-west of the Republic of Kazakhstan and its dynamics for the period until 2050 in connection with climate change are assessed. For the analysis, data from four meteorological stations in the Aktobe region and one in the West Kazakhstan region were used. The region is characterized by high summer and fairly low winter temperatures. The amount of precipitation, 180...295 mm/year, is not enough for sustainable rainfed agriculture, however, with the presence of irrigation, successful cultivation of a wide range of crops is possible. The region’s territory is used mainly for pastures. Our modeled expected changes in temperature and precipitation by decades for the period up to 2050 show that we should expect a further increase in temperature about 0.4 °C per decade and some increase in precipitation by 2...4 mm / decade, which does not compensate, however, evaporation costs.