Multiplier subsample bootstrap for statistics of time series

Pub Date : 2024-04-15 DOI:10.1016/j.jspi.2024.106183
Ruru Ma, Shibin Zhang
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Abstract

Block-based bootstrap, block-based subsampling and multiplier bootstrap are three common nonparametric tools for statistical inference under dependent observations. Combining the ideas of those three, a novel resampling approach, the multiplier subsample bootstrap (MSB), is proposed. Instead of generating a resample from the observations, the MSB imitates the statistic by weighting the block-based subsample statistics with independent standard Gaussian random variables. Given the asymptotic normality of the statistic, the bootstrap validity is established under some mild moment conditions. Involving the idea of MSB, the other resampling approach, the hybrid multiplier subsampling periodogram bootstrap (HMP), is developed for mimicking frequency-domain spectral mean statistics in the paper. A simulation study demonstrates that both the MSB and HMP achieve good performance.

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用于时间序列统计的乘数子样本自举法
基于块的自举法、基于块的子采样法和乘数自举法是在依赖观测条件下进行统计推断的三种常见的非参数工具。结合这三种方法的思想,我们提出了一种新颖的重采样方法--乘数子样本自举法(MSB)。MSB 不是从观测数据中生成重采样,而是通过用独立的标准高斯随机变量对基于块的子样本统计量进行加权来模仿统计量。考虑到统计量的渐近正态性,在一些温和的矩条件下建立了引导有效性。结合 MSB 的思想,本文提出了另一种重采样方法,即混合乘法子采样周期图引导法(HMP),用于模拟频域频谱均值统计。仿真研究表明,MSB 和 HMP 都取得了良好的性能。
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