{"title":"Mortgage Contracts and Underwater Default","authors":"Yerkin Kitapbayev, Scott Robertson","doi":"10.1137/22m1498590","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, Volume 15, Issue 2, Page 315-359, June 2024. <br/>Abstract.We analyze recently proposed mortgage contracts that aim to eliminate selective borrower default when the loan balance exceeds the house price (the “underwater” effect). We show contracts that automatically reduce the outstanding balance in the event of house price decline do eliminate selective default, but they may induce prepayment in low price states. However, low state prepayments vanish if the benefit from home ownership is sufficiently high. We also show that capital gain sharing features, such as prepayment penalties in high house price states, are ineffective as they virtually eliminate prepayment. For observed foreclosure costs, we find that contracts with automatic balance adjustments become preferable to the traditional fixed-rate contracts at mortgage rate spreads between 20–50 basis points. We obtain these results for perpetual versions of the contracts using an American options pricing methodology, in a continuous-time model with diffusive home prices. The contracts’ values and decision rules are associated with free boundary problems, which admit semiexplicit solutions.","PeriodicalId":1,"journal":{"name":"Accounts of Chemical Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":16.4000,"publicationDate":"2024-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Accounts of Chemical Research","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1137/22m1498590","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"化学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
SIAM Journal on Financial Mathematics, Volume 15, Issue 2, Page 315-359, June 2024. Abstract.We analyze recently proposed mortgage contracts that aim to eliminate selective borrower default when the loan balance exceeds the house price (the “underwater” effect). We show contracts that automatically reduce the outstanding balance in the event of house price decline do eliminate selective default, but they may induce prepayment in low price states. However, low state prepayments vanish if the benefit from home ownership is sufficiently high. We also show that capital gain sharing features, such as prepayment penalties in high house price states, are ineffective as they virtually eliminate prepayment. For observed foreclosure costs, we find that contracts with automatic balance adjustments become preferable to the traditional fixed-rate contracts at mortgage rate spreads between 20–50 basis points. We obtain these results for perpetual versions of the contracts using an American options pricing methodology, in a continuous-time model with diffusive home prices. The contracts’ values and decision rules are associated with free boundary problems, which admit semiexplicit solutions.
期刊介绍:
Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance.
Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.