A simple mathematical model and physical device to estimate a woman-specific probability of skilled birth assistance and associated benefit of maternity waiting home stay

Jérémie Gallien, George Chen, Yi Zhang, Yuhang Du, Jody Lori, Joseph Sieka, Bentoe Tehoungue
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Abstract

This paper presents a simple mathematical model and an associated physical device to predict (i) the risk that a woman’s active labor will begin without a skilled birth attendant based on her parity and anticipated time to access skilled care; and (ii) the extent to which that risk may be reduced by moving to a maternity waiting home some time before her expected due date. This tool is designed to facilitate more systematic discussions and better-informed decisions about labour care access arrangements during antenatal consultations.
利用简单数学模型和物理装置估算妇女获得熟练助产服务的概率以及待产室留宿的相关益处
本文介绍了一个简单的数学模型和一个相关的物理装置,用于预测:(i) 产妇在没有熟练助产士的情况下开始分娩的风险,其依据是产妇的奇偶性和获得熟练护理的预期时间;(ii) 在预产期前一段时间搬到待产室可在多大程度上降低这种风险。该工具旨在促进产前咨询中对分娩护理安排进行更系统的讨论并做出更明智的决定。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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