Revisiting the Macroeconomic Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks*

IF 1.1 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS
Firmin Doko Tchatoka, Qazi Haque
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This study re-evaluates the macroeconomic impact of monetary policy shocks in the United States using the proxy-SVAR approach of Gertler and Karadi (American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 2015, 7, 44–76). Despite increased credit costs and the presence of the credit channel, our analysis reveals modest effects on economic activity post-mid-1980s. This robust finding holds across various inference methods and sample considerations. A counterfactual analysis within the framework of Bernanke, Gertler, and Gilchrist (1999, Handbook of Macroeconomics, Elsevier) suggests that a stronger response to inflation in monetary policy execution may explain the subdued impact of shocks, offering valuable insights for policy refinement and understanding the dynamics of economic activity.

Abstract Image

重新审视货币政策冲击对宏观经济的影响*
本研究采用格特勒和卡拉迪(《美国经济学报:宏观经济学》,2015 年 7 期,44-76 页)的代理-SVAR 方法,重新评估了美国货币政策冲击对宏观经济的影响。尽管信贷成本增加且存在信贷渠道,但我们的分析表明,1980 年代中期以后,信贷渠道对经济活动的影响不大。这一稳健的结论在各种推断方法和样本考虑中都是成立的。在伯南克、格特勒和吉尔克里斯特(1999 年,《宏观经济学手册》,爱思唯尔出版社)的框架内进行的反事实分析表明,货币政策执行中对通胀的更强响应可能解释了冲击的低度影响,为政策完善和理解经济活动的动态提供了宝贵的见解。
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来源期刊
Economic Record
Economic Record ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
1.90
自引率
16.70%
发文量
51
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Economic Society of Australia, the Economic Record is intended to act as a vehicle for the communication of advances in knowledge and understanding in economics. It publishes papers in the theoretical, applied and policy areas of economics and provides a forum for research on the Australian economy. It also publishes surveys in economics and book reviews to facilitate the dissemination of knowledge.
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