Analysis of crash severity in rear-end and angle collisions on an urban roundabout in heterogeneous non-lane-based traffic conditions

Abstract

This study examines crash risk factors and develops a severity model for rear-end and angle collisions in roundabouts and its vicinity in non-lane-based heterogeneous traffic. The rear-end severity is primarily influenced by posted speed limits, violation type, collision partner, single-vehicle collision, and vehicle age. Whereas type of violation, collision partner, and presence of road surface condition are the critical influencing factors for determining the severity outcomes of angle collision. The marginal effects of angle collision results indicated that the probability of fatal injury increased by 28% due to heavy-vehicle-vulnerable road user collisions. In the rear-end case, risk factors such as collision partners (heavy vehicles-vulnerable road users) increased by 18% and single-vehicle collisions increased by 25%, highly influencing the severity of fatal injury at roundabouts. Notably, rear-end collisions exhibit higher severity compared to angle collisions. This study provides valuable insights for developing strategies to mitigate roundabout collision severity.