The Potential of Distribution of the Brown Marmorated Stink Bug Halyomorpha halys (Heteroptera: Pentatomidae) in Europe Determined on the Basis of the Comparative Analysis of the Ecogeographical Borders of Its Range

Pub Date : 2024-04-01 DOI:10.1134/s207511172401003x
A. N. Afonin, D. L. Musolin
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Abstract

Halyomorpha halys is a harmful invasive species of heteropteran insects. We identified the ecological and geographical distribution boundaries of the species by analyzing the occurrences of H. halys in its native range (East Asia) and its invasive range (North America and Europe) and subsequently comparing these occurrences with maps of environmental factors. The limits of its ecological tolerance towards the primary limiting environmental factors affecting its distribution have been refined. The longer history of the invasion of this species in North America, the features of the spatial distribution of environmental factors, and the location of the initial penetration allowed H. halys to occupy its potential ecological niche more fully in North America compared to Europe. A comparative ecogeographical analysis of the current distribution of H. halys in North America has enabled an assessment of the species’ near-term prospects for distribution in Europe. The spread of the invader into Europe under contemporary climatic conditions may occur in an eastern direction—through the territory of Ukraine, the southern regions of Belarus, and the southwestern part of the Russian Federation. The boundaries of this advancement are primarily linked with the ability of H. halys to adapt to harsh overwintering conditions. Within large cities acting as heat islands, the formation of self-sustaining populations of H. halys up to 55° N latitude cannot be ruled out. However, significant territories in Eastern Europe are characterized by pessimal values for H. halys across multiple environmental factors simultaneously. This might contain the further spread of the species in Europe, hinder its naturalization, and reduce the occurrence of H. halys in these regions.

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根据对褐狨臭虫分布区生态地理边界的比较分析,确定其在欧洲的分布潜力
摘要 哈雷虫(Halyomorpha halys)是一种有害的异翅昆虫入侵物种。我们通过分析H. halys在其原生地(东亚)和入侵地(北美和欧洲)的出现情况,并将这些出现情况与环境因子图进行比较,确定了该物种的生态和地理分布边界。对影响其分布的主要限制性环境因素的生态耐受极限得到了完善。与欧洲相比,该物种在北美的入侵历史更长,环境因素的空间分布特点以及最初的渗透位置使得H. halys在北美能够更充分地占据其潜在的生态位。通过对H. halys目前在北美的分布进行生态地理学比较分析,可以评估该物种在欧洲的近期分布前景。在目前的气候条件下,该入侵者可能会向东扩散--穿过乌克兰领土、白俄罗斯南部地区和俄罗斯联邦西南部地区。这种推进的边界主要与哈雷蛙适应严酷越冬条件的能力有关。在作为热岛的大城市中,不排除在北纬55°以下形成哈雷蛙自我维持种群的可能性。然而,在东欧的一些重要地区,哈雷蛙的数量在多种环境因素同时作用下都处于极低值。这可能会遏制该物种在欧洲的进一步扩散,阻碍其归化,并减少哈雷鱼在这些地区的出现。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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