Identification of Probable Precipitation Formation Zones using Data Mining and Control Actions by Local Injections of Moisture Concentrators

A. Chukalin, R. Fedorov, Y. Chamchiyan, Dmitry Stepanov
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Abstract

The study of the atmosphere and the determination of probable precipitation formation zones is of practical interest for researchers in the fields of climatology, dynamic meteorology, in the tasks of aviation meteorology and wind power. This paper proposes a new approach to determining the areas with the highest probability of precipitation based on the use of neural network modeling. In addition, the scientific problem of knowing the influence of wind farms on the state of the atmospheric polydisperse boundary layer and their potential impact on the local meteorological situation is touched upon. This is due to the significant role of wind turbines in slowing down geostrophic wind, creating additional turbulence and increasing vertical mixing of momentum, heat and moisture. In order to effectively use local territories, the authors carried out a study a study of the possibility of controlling the meteorological situation. The paper presents the results of forecasting precipitation formation in a given area – the Ulyanovsk Wind Farm area. The results of a numerical study of the state of the atmospheric boundary layer are presented, and the impact of the wind farm on the local meteorological situation is assessed. An approach to controlled precipitation by influencing the atmospheric boundary layer with injections of moisture concentrators is proposed.
利用数据挖掘确定可能的降水形成区,并通过局部注入水分浓缩器采取控制行动
对于气候学、动态气象学、航空气象学和风能领域的研究人员来说,研究大气层和确定降水形成的可能区域具有实际意义。本文在利用神经网络建模的基础上,提出了一种确定降水概率最高区域的新方法。此外,还涉及了解风电场对大气多分散边界层状态的影响及其对当地气象状况的潜在影响这一科学问题。这是因为风力涡轮机在减缓地转风速、产生额外湍流和增加动量、热量和湿气的垂直混合方面起着重要作用。为了有效利用当地领土,作者对控制气象状况的可能性进行了研究。本文介绍了在特定地区--乌里扬诺夫斯克风电场地区--降水形成的预报结果。文中介绍了对大气边界层状态进行数值研究的结果,并评估了风电场对当地气象条件的影响。提出了通过注入湿气集中器影响大气边界层来控制降水的方法。
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