Study on Short-Term Electricity Load Forecasting Based on SSA-LSTM-AdaBoost Modeling

Yuying Lu
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Abstract

Power load forecasting is of great significance and plays a vital role in the safe operation of the power system and the stability of power supply. Aiming at the problem of low prediction accuracy of single model, this paper proposes a prediction model based on the combination of Sparrow Search Algorithm (SSA) optimized Long Short-Term Memory Network (LSTM) and integrated algorithm. Multiple weak learners are first integrated through the AdaBoost algorithm to capture patterns and features in the data from multiple perspectives. Secondly, the collective intelligence and group collaboration ability of the SSA algorithm is utilized to ensure the global convergence of the algorithm, thus improving the prediction accuracy and robustness of the LSTM model. Finally, the model is analyzed and compared by examples to verify that the prediction accuracy of the model has been further improved.
基于 SSA-LSTM-AdaBoost 模型的短期电力负荷预测研究
电力负荷预测意义重大,对电力系统的安全运行和电力供应的稳定性起着至关重要的作用。针对单一模型预测精度低的问题,本文提出了一种基于麻雀搜索算法(SSA)优化的长短时记忆网络(LSTM)与集成算法相结合的预测模型。首先通过 AdaBoost 算法整合多个弱学习器,从多个角度捕捉数据中的模式和特征。其次,利用 SSA 算法的集体智能和群体协作能力,确保算法的全局收敛性,从而提高 LSTM 模型的预测精度和鲁棒性。最后,通过实例对模型进行分析和比较,验证模型的预测准确性得到了进一步提高。
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