Assessment of the impact of socio-economic indicators of the Volga Federal District of the Russian Federation on the number of payers of the Professional income tax

Nikita Kustov, Mikhail Anatol'evich Gorodilov
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Abstract

This article examines the impact of socio-economic indicators of the Volga Federal District (hereinafter – VFD) on the number of payers of the special tax - «Professional income tax (hereinafter – PIT)». The relevance of the article is due to the need to assess various socio-economic effects that cause an increase in the number of PIT payers in the regions of the Russian Federation. The purpose of this article is to identify these socio-economic indicators and then assess their impact on increasing the number of PIT payers in the region, which allows us to develop measures aimed at tax management in a particular region. Using econometric modeling methods, the authors assessed the impact on the number of PIT payers of such socio-economic indicators of the regions of the Volga Federal District as the number of individual entrepreneurs (hereinafter referred to as sole proprietors), GRP, the execution of regional budgets on PIT revenues, unemployment and nominal accrued wages. The materials used in the research process were obtained from open sources of official state statistics, consolidated tax and budget reports. The main results of this study are: - the indicator of the number of sole proprietors has a positive relationship with the number of PIT payers, which allows us to conclude that in regions with a larger number of individual entrepreneurs, the number of NPD payers is also growing; - the indicator of the number of unemployed has an inverse relationship with the number of PIT payers in the regions of the Russian Federation; Based on the results of an econometric study, the author concludes that a number of socio-economic indicators of the regions of the Volga Federal District have a significant impact on the number of PIT payers.
俄罗斯联邦伏尔加河沿岸联邦区社会经济指标对职业所得税纳税人数量影响的评估
本文探讨了伏尔加河沿岸联邦区(以下简称伏尔加河沿岸区)社会经济指标对特殊税种 "职业所得税(以下简称职业所得税)"纳税人数量的影响。本文的相关性在于需要评估导致俄罗斯联邦各地区职业所得税纳税人数量增加的各种社会经济影响。本文的目的是确定这些社会经济指标,然后评估它们对增加该地区缴纳个人所得税人数的影响,从而使我们能够制定针对特定地区税收管理的措施。作者使用计量经济学建模方法,评估了伏尔加联邦区各地区社会经济指标对个人企业主(以下简称独资企业主)数量、GRP、地区预算对个人所得税收入的执行情况、失业率和名义应计工资等个人所得税纳税人数量的影响。研究过程中使用的材料来自公开的国家官方统计资料、综合税收和预算报告。本研究的主要成果包括- 个体经营者数量指标与缴纳个人所得税的人数呈正相关关系,由此可以得出结论,在个体经营者数量较多的地区,缴纳国家所得税的人数也在增长; - 在俄罗斯联邦各地区,失业人数指标与缴纳个人所得税的人数呈反相关关系; - 根据计量经济学研究的结果,作者得出结论,伏尔加河沿岸联邦区各地区的多项社会经济指标对缴纳个人所得税的人数有显著影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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