Leveraging Behavioral Economics to Decision Architecture

Santosh Kumari
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Abstract

Modern economic theory has been dominated by neoclassical economics since the 1970s. Like any theory, neoclassical economics also has a series of assumptions underpinning it. These assumptions have been criticized and challenged on various grounds in the past several decades. The most serious assumption is the assumption of rational economic agents who aim to maximize their utility by analyzing the costs and benefits of every decision. The presence of “homo economicus” is very rare in our society. In fact, it is practically and psychologically impossible to be rational even most of the times. Empirical and experimental research heavily corroborates this fact. Despite such massive evidence, nearly all economic models and public policies use this distorting assumption in analysis and research. The result has been catastrophic, as can be seen in the Global Financial Crisis of 2008, the Dot-Com bust and numerous financial market crashes before that. Furthermore, the theory of rationality also reduces the effectiveness of government policies in achieving their objectives. Behavioral economics has emerged to address these fallacies of modern neoclassical economics and complement it to improve economic theory, methodologies and forecasting. Behavioral economics has mainly two branchesmacro theory which aims to design macro-economic models incorporating behavioral concepts and micro theory which explains the various biases that individuals, groups and institutions exhibit in economic and even social decision-making. This research is focused on micro-behavioral economic theory. While a colossal magnitude of research has been done in identifying, testing and explaining the plethora of behavioral biases, there is a dearth of research on systematically reducing these biases. This research aims to fill this gap by conducting research on private and public sector employees of 30 to 40 years age and testing for a significant difference in level of biases revealed between the two groups of employees. The research found that there is a significant level of difference in the rational decision-making behavior of the two groups of employees. It also discusses the applications of the findings and the further scope for research.
利用行为经济学构建决策架构
自 20 世纪 70 年代以来,新古典经济学一直主导着现代经济理论。与任何理论一样,新古典经济学也有一系列假设作为支撑。过去几十年来,这些假设受到了各种批评和质疑。最严重的假设是理性经济主体的假设,他们通过分析每个决策的成本和收益来实现效用最大化。在我们的社会中,"经济人 "的存在非常罕见。事实上,从实践和心理上讲,即使在大多数情况下也不可能做到理性。经验和实验研究在很大程度上证实了这一事实。尽管有如此多的证据,几乎所有的经济模型和公共政策在分析和研究中都使用了这一扭曲的假设。其结果是灾难性的,2008 年的全球金融危机、Dot-Com 破产以及之前的无数次金融市场崩溃都是如此。此外,理性理论也降低了政府政策实现其目标的有效性。行为经济学的出现就是为了解决现代新古典经济学的这些谬误,并对其进行补充,以改进经济理论、方法和预测。行为经济学主要有两个分支:宏观理论和微观理论,前者旨在设计包含行为概念的宏观经济模型,后者则解释个人、群体和机构在经济甚至社会决策中表现出的各种偏差。本研究侧重于微观行为经济理论。虽然在识别、测试和解释大量行为偏差方面已经开展了大量研究,但系统性减少这些偏差的研究却十分匮乏。本研究旨在通过对 30 至 40 岁的私营和公共部门雇员进行研究,并测试两组雇员的偏见水平是否存在显著差异,从而填补这一空白。研究发现,两组员工的理性决策行为存在显著差异。报告还讨论了研究结果的应用和进一步的研究范围。
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