Saving and Investment Nexus in Indonesia: Revisiting Feldstein-Horioka Hypothesis

Ratu Eva Febriani, Retno Agustina Ekaputri, Armelly Armelly
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Abstract

The Indonesian economy cannot be separated from interaction with the economies of other countries, so changes in global conditions will also affect the Indonesian economy. A significant investment is needed to drive the domestic economy, while domestic capital accumulation is still insufficient. The relationship between savings and investment put forward by Feldstein and Horioka (FH) was reviewed for the case of Indonesia from 1981 to 2020. The VECM found a long-term and short-term relationship and a bidirectional Granger causality between saving and investment. The strength of the saving-investment correlation confirms the validity of the FH hypothesis in Indonesia.
印度尼西亚的储蓄与投资关系:重新审视费尔德斯坦-堀冈假说
印尼经济离不开与其他国家经济的互动,因此全球形势的变化也会影响印尼经济。在国内资本积累仍然不足的情况下,需要大量投资来推动国内经济的发展。Feldstein 和 Horioka(FH)提出的储蓄与投资之间的关系在 1981 年至 2020 年的印度尼西亚案例中得到了验证。VECM 发现储蓄与投资之间存在长期和短期关系以及双向格兰杰因果关系。储蓄-投资相关性的强度证实了 FH 假设在印度尼西亚的有效性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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