The role of total value added to be distributed to reduce the negative effects of the pandemic on the share price

Geovane Camilo Santos
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Abstract

This research analyzes the relationship between the total value added to be distributed and the share price in the before, during, and post-pandemic periods. The data were collected on the Securities and Exchange Commission (CVM) website and Refinitiv Eikon®, resulting in 1,910 observations of Brazilian companies from 2010 to 2022 from all sectors, except Government Activity (due to lack of data). The data were treated using descriptive statistics and the Generalized Least Squares (GLS) regression model. The results revealed that i) the disclosure of the TVAD is relevant to explain the share price; ii) there is a negative relationship between the pandemic period and the share price; and iii) the interaction between the TVAD and the pandemic has a positive relationship with the share price. The results contribute to investors, suggesting that the Value Added Statement (VAS) information can increase the share price in periods of more significant uncertainty. With managers, it shows that the generation of more wealth can increase the price of shares, which can help them obtain better returns since part of the remuneration is usually linked to the performance of the shares. With Brazilian regulators, the results may indicate that the mandatory disclosure of VAS during the pandemic is relevant to assisting shareholders in decision-making. The gap explored in this research is the lack of analysis of the relationship between TVAD and the pandemic. The study's relevance is to highlight to the shareholders what information from the VAS contributes to an increase in the share price in periods of greater instability. Therefore, the impact of the study is that users can use the VAS information for share pricing, especially in periods of greater economic instability.
分配总增值的作用,以减少大流行病对股价的负面影响
本研究分析了大流行前、大流行期间和大流行后的总增值分配与股价之间的关系。数据收集自证券交易委员会(CVM)网站和 Refinitiv Eikon®,共收集到 2010 年至 2022 年巴西各行业公司的 1,910 个观测值,但政府活动除外(由于缺乏数据)。数据采用描述性统计和广义最小二乘法(GLS)回归模型进行处理。结果显示:i)TVAD 的披露与解释股价相关;ii)大流行期与股价之间存在负相关关系;iii)TVAD 与大流行之间的交互作用与股价存在正相关关系。研究结果表明,在不确定性较大的时期,增值声明(VAS)信息可以提高股价。对于管理者来说,结果表明,创造更多财富可以提高股价,这有助于他们获得更好的回报,因为部分薪酬通常与股票表现挂钩。对巴西监管机构而言,研究结果可能表明,在大流行病期间强制披露增值服务有助于股东做出决策。本研究的不足之处在于缺乏对 TVAD 与大流行之间关系的分析。本研究的意义在于向股东强调,在更加不稳定的时期,来自增值服务的哪些信息有助于提高股价。因此,本研究的影响在于,用户可以利用增值服务信息进行股票定价,尤其是在经济更加不稳定的时期。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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