Modeling the Mathematical Transmission of a Pneumonia Epidemic Model with Awareness

I. Olopade, E. I. Akinola, M. E. Philemon, I. Mohammed, S. Ajao, S. O. Sangoniyi, G. Adeniran
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Abstract

A new model for the transmission of a pneumonia epidemic, considering awareness and a mass action incidence function, is presented. Stability analyses for disease-free and endemic equilibrium points are conducted. The Basic Reproduction Number (Ro) for pneumonia with awareness is defined and analyzed, showing stability when (Ro < 1)  and transitioning to an endemic state when (Ro > 1)  . Additionally, a special case is highlighted where the Basic Reproduction Number (Ro*) (without awareness) is greater than  (Ro). Basic Reproduction Number with awareness, i.e. (Ro* = 1.0965 > Ro = 0.8772). Furthermore, a numerical simulation is provided to depict how awareness influences the dynamic management of the disease. The results underscore the crucial role of awareness in educating the public about infection risks, ultimately contributing to a decrease in the health burden by mitigating the epidemic peak.
用意识模拟肺炎流行病的数学传播模型
本文提出了一种新的肺炎流行病传播模型,考虑到了意识和大规模行动的发病率函数。对无疾病平衡点和流行平衡点进行了稳定性分析。定义并分析了具有意识的肺炎基本繁殖数(Ro),当(Ro < 1)时显示出稳定性,当(Ro > 1)时则过渡到流行状态。此外,还强调了一种特殊情况,即基本繁殖数 (Ro*)(无感知)大于 (Ro)。在有意识的情况下,基本繁殖数(Ro* = 1.0965 > Ro = 0.8772)大于基本繁殖数(Ro* = 1.0965 > Ro = 0.8772)。此外,还提供了一个数字模拟,以描述认识如何影响疾病的动态管理。结果强调了宣传在教育公众了解感染风险方面的关键作用,最终有助于通过缓解流行高峰来减轻健康负担。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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