Research on the Differences of Climatic Characteristics of Different Levels of Gale Disasters in Northern Xinjiang

Fan Hu, Chenliang Liu, Ming Hu, Xiaofeng Xie, Xinsheng Lv
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Abstract

Disaster damage index and disaster grades are constructed by using multi index method on the basis of overall consideration, based on the disaster data of 671 wind disasters taking place in 38 counties (cities) in Northern Xinjiang from 1980 to 2019, and by selecting six disaster factors including the death toll, the number of collapsed houses, the number of collapsed sheds, the number of damaged green houses, the number of livestock deaths and the affected area caused by each wind disaster event. The results show that in space, wind disasters are the most frequent in Bortala Mongol Autonomous Prefecture and Altay Prefecture, and the losses caused by wind disasters are the most severe along Tianshan Mountain in Northern Xinjiang and Altay Prefecture. In terms of time, wind disasters in Northern Xinjiang are mainly concentrated in spring and summer (from March to August), of which April and May are the months with the highest frequency. In recent 40 years, the occurrence times and extent of harm of wind disasters in Northern Xinjiang have shown a linear growth trend; the occurrence times of wind disasters at various grades and the extent of harm have increased significantly during the years around 2000; it is found, upon examination, there was a sudden change of climate in the late 1990s, and the increase rate is inversely proportional to the grade of wind disaster. Therefore, the wind disasters in Bortala Mongol Autonomous Prefecture, Altay Prefecture and the area along Tianshan Mountain in Northern Xinjiang from April to May each year are the areas in Northern Xinjiang with the highest wind disaster risk. The study can provide scientific basis for wind disaster prevention and control in Northern Xinjiang.
新疆北部不同等级大风灾害的气候特征差异研究
以1980-2019年北疆38个县(市)发生的671次风灾灾情数据为基础,选取每次风灾事件造成的死亡人数、倒塌房屋数、倒塌棚舍数、损坏青苗房数、牲畜死亡数和受灾面积等6个灾害因子,在综合考虑的基础上,采用多指标法构建灾害损失指数和灾害等级。结果表明,在空间上,博尔塔拉蒙古自治州和阿勒泰地区风灾最为频繁,北疆天山一带和阿勒泰地区风灾造成的损失最为严重。从时间上看,北疆风灾主要集中在春夏两季(3 月至 8 月),其中 4 月和 5 月发生频率最高。近 40 年来,北疆风灾发生次数和危害程度呈线性增长趋势;2000 年前后,各等级风灾发生次数和危害程度明显增加;经研究发现,20 世纪 90 年代后期气候突变,增加速度与风灾等级成反比。因此,北疆博尔塔拉蒙古自治州、阿勒泰地区和天山一带每年 4-5 月的风灾是北疆风灾风险最高的地区。该研究可为北疆风灾防治提供科学依据。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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