Mixed Parallel Electoral System — Optimal Choice under Authoritarianism? (Cross-National Comparative Study)

V. А. Usova
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Abstract

Over the past 30 years, the mixed parallel electoral system has become one of the popular types of electoral systems used in elections to national legislatures. Curiously, it received the highest popularity in authoritarian regimes. The article attempts to identify internal political factors that contribute to the introduction of mixed parallel electoral systems under the conditions of electoral authoritarianism. To perform this task, the author uses the binary logistic regression method. In this study, the author makes an assumption that when implementing electoral reform under authoritarianism, the ruling elite is largely guided by the desire to maintain and strengthen its power. The study shows that the mixed parallel electoral system is most likely to be introduced during the period of regime transformation. At the initial stage of the consolidation of an authoritarian regime that allows multi-party competition, the ruling elite faces the challenge of institutionalizing electoral uncertainty. The effectiveness and durability of the political regime depends on how the risks associated with elections are neutralized. The mechanical combination of majoritarian and proportional representation principles opens up an opportunity to utilize the advantages of each of the electoral formulas conditional on the political situation, allowing the existing authorities to gain control over the sweeping majority of seats in parliament even when electoral competition is increasing and the support for the dominant party is falling. According to the author’s conclusion, the use of the mixed parallel system plays an important role in the consolidation of an authoritarian regime. Due to the mechanisms inherent in this system, the ruling elite can efficiently manipulate elections, ensuring the survival and stability of the authoritarian order.
混合平行选举制--威权主义下的最佳选择?(跨国比较研究)
在过去的 30 年中,混合平行选举制已成为国家立法机构选举中最常用的选举制之一。奇怪的是,它在专制政权中最受欢迎。本文试图找出在选举威权主义条件下有助于引入混合平行选举制的内部政治因素。为了完成这一任务,作者使用了二元逻辑回归法。在这项研究中,作者提出了一个假设,即在威权主义下实施选举改革时,统治精英主要以维护和加强其权力的愿望为导向。研究表明,混合平行选举制度最有可能在政权转型时期推行。在允许多党竞争的威权体制巩固初期,统治精英面临着将选举不确定性制度化的挑战。政治体制的有效性和持久性取决于如何化解与选举相关的风险。多数代表制原则和比例代表制原则的机械结合为根据政治局势利用每种选举形式的优势提供了机会,使现有当局即使在选举竞争加剧、占主导地位的政党支持率下降的情况下也能控制议会中的绝大多数席位。根据作者的结论,混合平行制度的使用在巩固专制政权方面发挥了重要作用。由于这种制度的内在机制,统治精英可以有效地操纵选举,确保专制秩序的生存和稳定。
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