Improving the process of making management decisions in agriculture using artificial intelligence systems

Ekaterina Yalunina, Natalya Pryadilina, Egor Skvorcov
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Abstract

Abstract. The problem of the quality of managerial decisions is one of the most acute problems of agriculture. Their quality can be improved with the use of digital technologies, including the use of artificial intelligence (AI) systems. The purpose of the study is to clarify the main stages of managerial decision-making, taking into account the use of AI systems. The scientific novelty lies in the development of a structural model for making a managerial decision, taking into account the use of AI systems, the main components of this process are identified. The research methods were the analysis of publications in the WoS scientific citation network on the topics “agriculture” and “artificial intelligence”, as well as the abstract-logical method in the analysis of the main stages of making a managerial decision. The results of the study were the determination of the composition and content of the stages of the procedural decision invariant, taking into account the use of artificial intelligence systems. The use of artificial intelligence systems allows diagnosing the occurrence of problems in crop production, animal husbandry, and technical systems at an early stage. Data collection and analysis in the process of making a managerial decision using AI systems includes direct data collection using sensors, cameras, scanners, etc., their cleaning and preliminary analysis, exploratory and statistical analysis, data modeling and interpretation of results. The use of AI systems will make it possible to operate with large data sets from agricultural production facilities, which will reduce uncertainty in making managerial decisions. The analysis of alternatives and the development of a management decision using AI systems turns off the forecasting of agricultural development indicators in a given system of constraints, the generation of alternative solutions and the choice of the optimal alternative, the acceptance or ignoring of the proposed alternatives. AI systems can be used to automate and optimize the process of implementing management decisions, monitoring and controlling management decisions. The use of AI systems to automate management decision-making processes in agriculture can help improve management efficiency.
利用人工智能系统改进农业管理决策过程
摘要管理决策的质量问题是农业领域最尖锐的问题之一。通过使用数字技术,包括使用人工智能(AI)系统,可以提高决策质量。本研究的目的是在考虑使用人工智能系统的情况下,明确管理决策的主要阶段。科学新颖之处在于,在考虑使用人工智能系统的情况下,建立了管理决策的结构模型,并确定了这一过程的主要组成部分。研究方法是分析 WoS 科学引文网络中以 "农业 "和 "人工智能 "为主题的出版物,以及采用抽象逻辑方法分析管理决策的主要阶段。研究结果是,在考虑使用人工智能系统的情况下,确定了程序性决策不变阶段的构成和内容。使用人工智能系统可以及早诊断农作物生产、畜牧业和技术系统中出现的问题。在利用人工智能系统做出管理决策的过程中,数据收集和分析包括利用传感器、照相机、扫描仪等直接收集数据,对数据进行清理和初步分析,探索性分析和统计分析,数据建模和结果解释。人工智能系统的使用将使农业生产设施的大数据集操作成为可能,这将减少管理决策中的不确定性。利用人工智能系统分析替代方案和制定管理决策,可以在给定的约束系统中关闭对农业发展指标的预测、生成替代解决方案和选择最佳替代方案、接受或忽略所提出的替代方案。人工智能系统可用于自动化和优化管理决策的执行过程,监测和控制管理决策。利用人工智能系统实现农业管理决策过程的自动化有助于提高管理效率。
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