Financial stability of the federal budget and budgets of the Russian constituent entities subjects under Western sanctions

N. Z. Zotikov
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Abstract

According to the definition of the European Commission, public finances financial stability is the ability of a state to maintain current expenditures, conduct tax and social policy in the long term without the threat of loss of the country’s solvency to fulfill its obligations and stipulated expenditures. The subject of the study is the state of revenues and expenditures of the federal budget and budgets of the Russian constituent entities under the Western sanctions. The choice of the Ural Federal District regions (hereinafter – UFD) as the objects of the study is due to the significant share of oil and gas revenues in the federal budget revenues, the export-oriented regions place and role in the oil and gas revenues formation in the federal budget. The purpose of the study is to assess the budget system financial stability on the example of the federal budget and budgets of the Russian constituent entities, in particular, the UFD regions. The article uses generally accepted research methods, such as analysis and synthesis, generalization, grouping, tabular, etc. It has been established that the imposed sanctions have a negative impact on oil and gas revenues. Under such conditions, the budget system stability is supported by a low level of debt, especially at the federal level. The UFD export-oriented regions budget stability indicators exceed similar indicators of the Russian constituent entities budget. The budget stability risks remain the highest at the regional and local levels.
受西方制裁的联邦预算和俄罗斯主体预算的财政稳定性
根据欧盟委员会的定义,公共财政的财政稳定性是指一个国家在长期内维持经常性开支、执行税收和社会政策而不受丧失偿付能力威胁的能力,以履行其义务和规定的开支。本研究的主题是在西方制裁下联邦预算和俄罗斯主体预算的收支状况。选择乌拉尔联邦区(以下简称 "乌拉尔联邦区")作为研究对象是由于石油和天然气收入在联邦预算收入中占有重要份额,以及该出口导向型地区在联邦预算石油和天然气收入形成中的地位和作用。研究的目的是以联邦预算和俄罗斯主体预算,特别是 UFD 地区的预算为例,评估预算体系的财政稳定性。文章采用了普遍认可的研究方法,如分析与综合、概括、分组、表格等。已经证实,实施制裁对石油和天然气收入产生了负面影响。在这种情况下,预算系统的稳定性得益于较低的债务水平,尤其是在联邦一级。以出口为导向的联邦区的预算稳定性指标超过了俄联邦主体预算的类似指标。地区和地方一级的预算稳定性风险仍然最高。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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