Improving the daily pan evaporation estimation of long short-term memory and support vector regression models by using the Wild Horse Optimizer algorithm

Abstract

Evaporation is a basic element in the hydrological cycle that plays a vital role in a region's water balance. In this paper, the Wild Horse Optimizer (WHO) algorithm was used to optimize long short-term memory (LSTM) and support vector regression (SVR) to estimate daily pan evaporation (Ep). Primary meteorological variables including minimum temperature (Tmin), maximum temperature (Tmax), sunshine hours (SSH), relative humidity (RH), and wind speed (WS) were collected from two synoptic meteorological stations with different climates which are situated in Fars province, Iran. One of the stations is located in Larestan city with a hot desert climate and the other is in Abadeh city with a cold dry climate. The partial mutual information (PMI) algorithm was utilized to identify the efficient input variables (EIVs) on Ep. The results of the PMI algorithm proved that the Tmax, Tmin, and RH for Larestan station and also the Tmax, Tmin, and SSH for Abadeh station are the EIVs on Ep. The results showed the LSTM–WHO hybrid model for both stations can ameliorate the daily Ep estimation and it can also reduce the estimation error. Therefore, the LSTM–WHO hybrid model was proposed as a powerful model compared to standalone models in estimating daily Ep.