Comparison of scoring systems for predicting short- and long-term type 2 diabetes remission after bariatric surgery.

Abstract

Introduction: Our study aimed to compare the short- and particularly long-term type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) remission prediction abilities of ABCD, individualised metabolic surgery (IMS), DiaRem2, Ad-DiaRem and DiaBetter scoring systems in Turkish adult type 2 diabetic morbidly obese patients who underwent bariatric surgery.

Patients and methods: Our study was planned as a retrospective cohort study. A total of 137 patients with T2DM, including 78 sleeve gastrectomy (SG) and 59 Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) patients, were included in the 1st-year evaluation after bariatric surgery, and a total of 115 patients with T2DM, including 64 SG and 51 RYGB patients, were included in the evaluation at the end of the 5th year.

Results: In the 1st year after bariatric surgery, area under the ROC curve (AUC) values for diabetes remission scores were 0.863 for Ad-DiaRem, 0.896 for DiaBetter, 0.840 for DiaRem2, 0.727 for ABCD and 0.836 for IMS. At 5 years after bariatric surgery, the AUC values for diabetes remission were 0.834 for Ad-DiaRem, 0.888 for DiaBetter, 0.794 for DiaRem2, 0.730 for ABCD and 0.878 for IMS.

Conclusions: According to our study, the DiaBetter score provided a better AUC value than the other scores both in the short and long term but showed similar predictive performance to Ad-DiaRem in the short term and IMS in the long term. We believe that DiaBetter and Ad-DiaRem scores might be more appropriate for short-term assessment and DiaBetter and IMS scores for long-term remission assessment.