Facilitating the transition to sustainable propulsion in the shipping industry: An agent-based modelling analysis of retrofitting

IF 5.7 2区经济学 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions Pub Date : 2024-03-27 DOI:10.1016/j.eist.2024.100838

Morteza Mahmoudi , Yadollah Saboohi , Jonathan Köhler

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Abstract

In response to growing concerns about the environmental impact of the shipping industry, this study examines the potential impacts of retrofitting on the shipping industry and the barriers and incentives that may affect the adoption of low-emission technologies. The MATISSE-SHIP agent-based model of transitions is extended to include retrofits. The results suggest that retrofitting can lead to a rapid decline in the use of high-sulphur fuel oil, with wind-assisted technology emerging as a competitive and cost-effective option for shipowners.

Additionally, retrofitting can accelerate the transition to a diverse and low-carbon portfolio of propulsion technologies. The findings indicate that the success of decarbonization efforts in the shipping industry depends on a range of factors, including reliable supply that affects the accessibility and affordability of alternative fuels. Policymakers should consider these factors when developing policies and incentives to encourage the adoption of low-emission technologies in the shipping industry.

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促进航运业向可持续推进过渡：基于代理的改装建模分析

针对人们日益关注的航运业对环境的影响，本研究探讨了改装对航运业的潜在影响，以及可能影响采用低排放技术的障碍和激励措施。研究扩展了基于 MATISSE-SHIP 代理的过渡模型，将改造纳入其中。结果表明，改造可导致高硫燃油使用量的快速下降，风力辅助技术成为船东具有竞争力和成本效益的选择。此外，改造可加速向多样化的低碳推进技术组合过渡。研究结果表明，航运业去碳化努力的成功取决于一系列因素，包括影响替代燃料可获得性和可负担性的可靠供应。决策者在制定政策和激励措施以鼓励航运业采用低排放技术时，应考虑这些因素。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions Energy-Renewable Energy, Sustainability and the Environment

CiteScore

13.60

自引率

19.40%

发文量

审稿时长

56 days

期刊介绍： Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions serves as a platform for reporting studies on innovations and socio-economic transitions aimed at fostering an environmentally sustainable economy, thereby addressing structural resource scarcity and environmental challenges, particularly those associated with fossil energy use and climate change. The journal focuses on various forms of innovation, including technological, organizational, economic, institutional, and political, as well as economy-wide and sectoral changes in areas such as energy, transport, agriculture, and water management. It endeavors to tackle complex questions concerning social, economic, behavioral-psychological, and political barriers and opportunities, along with their intricate interactions. With a multidisciplinary approach and methodological openness, the journal welcomes contributions from a wide array of disciplines within the social, environmental, and innovation sciences.