Long-Run Performance Indicators of Egyptian Agriculture

محمد بدير العراقي, ثناء النوبي احمد سليم, صفية محمد أمين حبيشى
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Abstract

The study examines the performance of Egyptian agriculture during the period 1961-2021 . It is evident that the decade of 1991 - 2000 witnessed the peak of annual growth in crop production, animal production and aquaculture production and consequently in total agricultural production. The 1 990s saw the largest rate of growth in agricultural land where a total increase of 1.56 million feddans was observed. In contrast, the least rates of annual growth coincided with the periods of 1971-1980 and 2011-2021 . T he study reveals that the aggregate production function for Egyptian agriculture is agreeable with constant returns to scale. The production elasticity with respect to arable land is 0.575. The study concludes that technical progress is responsible for 46.2% of the growth in agricultural production while arable land is responsible for only 22.2 percent of growth during the period 1981-2021. Therefore, adoption of new technologies and constant improvements in the methods of production are necessary for future expansion of Egyptian agriculture in order to overcome the difficulty of expanding land and water resources
埃及农业的长期绩效指标
本研究探讨了 1961-2021 年期间埃及农业的表现。很明显,1991-2000 年这十年间,农作物产量、畜牧业产量和水产养殖业产量的年增长率达到顶峰,农业总产量也随之达到顶峰。1990 年代,农业用地的增长率最高,共增加了 156 万费丹。相比之下,1971-1980 年和 2011-2021 年的年增长率最低。研究表明,埃及农业的总生产函数符合规模报酬不变的原则。耕地的生产弹性为 0.575。研究得出结论,1981-2021 年期间,技术进步占农业生产增长的 46.2%,而耕地仅占增长的 22.2%。因此,采用新技术和不断改进生产方法是埃及农业未来发展的必要条件,以克服扩大土地和水资源的困难。
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