The implication of spatiotemporal rainfall distribution on the estimation of areal rainfall characteristics in Upper Erer Sub-basin, Ethiopia

Abstract

The distribution of rainfall is not uniform in various regions of the world. Rainfall study is used to recognize the characteristics, duration, and variability of temporal and spatial rainfall distributions. In Ethiopia, the annual and seasonal rainfall distributions are variable in space and time. This study is focused on the implication of spatiotemporal rainfall distribution on the areal rainfall characteristics evaluation under the Upper Erer Sub-basin, located in Eastern Ethiopia. In the study area, average annual rainfall amount for Dire Dawa, Harar and Haramaya, Girawa, and Gursum stations are found to be 647, 816, 801, 958, and 840 mm with coefficients of variation of 23, 20, 20, 19, and 31%, respectively. However, the rain gauges here are sparsely distributed. The rainfall occurrence and distribution at various gauging stations have been found to vary significantly both temporally and spatially. This spatiotemporal rainfall distribution was assessed using joint probability of rain days approach for the stations. The result indicated joint probability of rain days estimation approach under monthly time step has better performance than daily, decadal, and seasonal data. The joint probability approach is used along with rainfall amount under monthly rainfall for areal rainfall estimation assessment in rainfall–runoff modeling.