Contribution of the non-life insurance sector to the economic growth of Nepal: Analysis from the EGLS approach

Q2 Economics, Econometrics and Finance
Yadav Mani Upadhyaya, Khom Raj Kharel, Narayan Prasad Aryal, Basu Dev Lamichhane
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Abstract

Nepal’s non-life insurance sector holds immense potential to drive economic growth and boost the nation towards a secure financial future. Embracing this potential is a goal and a pivotal catalyst for substantial change. The study aims to determine how the non-life insurance sector can drive economic growth in Nepal. The methodology of this study uses quantitative analysis of financial data from 2013 to 2022 from 20 non-life insurance companies in Nepal and econometric modeling to assess the sector’s impact on economic growth. Using Panel EGLS (Estimated Generalized Least Squares) regression analysis, the findings show that with one-unit increments in total investment, total premium, and total tax paid, GDP is expected to change by approximately 591.52, –920.54 and 8,470.65 units, respectively. In contrast, the coefficient for total profit is –910.3477 and is not statistically significant. The study’s main conclusion implies that the insurance sector contributes to the country’s economic growth by investing in productive activities and paying taxes to the government. Still, it also imposes a cost on the economy by charging high premiums to the insured. The profitability of the insurance sector does not affect the GDP, which indicates that the insurance sector is competitive and efficient or that other factors determine the GDP besides the insurance sector. This study contributes to a deeper understanding of the non-life insurance sector’s role in Nepal’s economic development and informs evidence-based policy decisions.
非寿险部门对尼泊尔经济增长的贡献:EGLS 方法分析
尼泊尔的非人寿保险行业蕴含着巨大的潜力,可以推动经济增长,促进国家走向安全的金融未来。抓住这一潜力是实现重大变革的目标和关键催化剂。本研究旨在确定非寿险行业如何推动尼泊尔的经济增长。本研究采用定量分析尼泊尔 20 家非寿险公司 2013 年至 2022 年财务数据和计量经济学模型的方法来评估该行业对经济增长的影响。利用面板 EGLS(估计广义最小二乘法)回归分析,研究结果表明,总投资、总保费和纳税总额每增加一个单位,预计国内生产总值将分别发生约 591.52、-920.54 和 8470.65 个单位的变化。相比之下,利润总额的系数为-910.3477,在统计上并不显著。研究的主要结论意味着,保险业通过投资生产活动和向政府纳税,为国家经济增长做出了贡献。不过,保险业也会向投保人收取高额保费,从而给经济带来成本。保险业的盈利能力并不影响国内生产总值,这表明保险业具有竞争力和效率,或者说除了保险业之外,还有其他因素决定着国内生产总值。这项研究有助于深入了解非寿险部门在尼泊尔经济发展中的作用,并为循证决策提供信息。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Insurance Markets and Companies
Insurance Markets and Companies Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Finance
CiteScore
3.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
6
审稿时长
11 weeks
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