The Impact of High Government Debt on Economic Development in Somalia

Abdifatah Dahir Harun
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Abstract

This study focuses on the impact of high government debt on economic development in Somalia. The specific objectives of the study encompass: to examine the impact of high government debt on Somalia's economic development, to explore the strategies that can be used to mitigate the negative impact of high government debt on economic development in Somalia and to evaluate the role of international financial institutions in managing high government in Somalia. This study employed descriptive research design and quantitative research method to investigate the impact of heavily-indebted on rebuilding economic development in Somalia. The study employed purposive sampling technique to select the participants of the study. The sample size of the study was 80 participants. To collect data from the respondents which they entail: Government officials, Economic analysts, representatives from financial institutions, Business owners and entrepreneurs, representatives from Non-governmental organizations (NGOs) and Academics (researchers and scholars). The study adopted close-ended questionnaire instrument data collected from the respondents of the study was entered, coded, sorted, organized and analyzed using Statistical Package Software Science (SPSS) version 28. The key findings of the study on the impacts of high government debt on Somalia's economic development entail: limited access to credit, increased debt servicing costs, inflation and currency depreciation, reduced investor confidence, limited fiscal space, vulnerability to external shocks and social unrest. The strategies the can be used to mitigate the negative impact of high government debt on economic development in Somalia include: promotion of financial literacy, strengthening regulatory framework, encouragement of diversification of the economy, Improving infrastructure and access to financial services, implementation of debt management strategies, fostering a conducive business environment and seeking external assistance and debt relief. And the role of international financial institutions in managing high government debt in Somalia entail: providing financial assistance, negotiating debt relief, offering technical expertise and supporting capacity-building. The study recommended that the Federal Government of Somalia should improve fiscal management and should work with international financial institutions and creditor countries to negotiate debt relief and restructuring agreements to reduce the burden of debt payments and boost economic development.
高额政府债务对索马里经济发展的影响
本研究的重点是高额政府债务对索马里经济发展的影响。研究的具体目标包括:研究政府高额债务对索马里经济发展的影响,探讨可用于减轻政府高额债务对索马里经济发展负面影响的策略,以及评估国际金融机构在管理索马里政府高额债务方面的作用。本研究采用描述性研究设计和定量研究方法,调查重债国对重建索马里经济发展的影响。研究采用了目的性抽样技术来选择研究参与者。研究的样本量为 80 人。从受访者中收集数据,受访者包括政府官员、经济分析师、金融机构代表、企业主和企业家、非政府组织代表和学者(研究人员和学者)。研究采用了封闭式问卷调查工具,对从受访者处收集到的数据进行了输入、编码、分类、整理,并使用科学统计软件包(SPSS)28 版进行了分析。关于高额政府债务对索马里经济发展影响的主要研究结果包括:获得信贷的机会有限、偿债成本增加、通货膨胀和货币贬值、投资者信心下降、财政空间有限、易受外部冲击和社会动荡的影响。为减轻高额政府债务对索马里经济发展的负面影响,可采取的战略包括:促进金融知识普及、加强监管框架、鼓励经济多样化、改善基础设施和金融服务、实施债务管理战略、营造有利的商业环境以及寻求外部援助和债务减免。国际金融机构在管理索马里高额政府债务方面的作用包括:提供财政援助、谈判债务减免、提供技术专长和支持能力建设。研究报告建议,索马里联邦政府应改善财政管理,并与国际金融机构和债权国合作,通过谈判达成债务减免和重组协议,以减轻债务负担,促进经济发展。
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