(The impact of the implications of political risk on the rate of return on equity for some real estate companies listed in the Iraqi and Saudi stock markets)

Sarah Sabah, Nameer Ameer
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Abstract

The research was conducted to give an idea of the mechanism of transmission of the effect between political risk variables and the performance of the real estate sector، by presenting the most prominent real estate concepts and detailing the types of real estate، as well as building a quantitative standard model to test the impact of political risk implications (voting and accountability (AV)، political stability (PV)، government effectiveness (GE)، Regulatory Quality (RQ)، Rules of Law (RL)، Control of Corruption (CC)) on the performance index of real estate sector companies (return on equity (ROE)) for real estate sector companies registered in the Iraqi and Saudi financial markets، for the purpose of answering the question (Can the implications of political risks influence the performance indicators of the real estate sector?)، which represents the problem on which the study was based، for the time period 2011-2020. The study relied on the Pooled Mean Group method (PMG)، which is part of the environment of the autoregressive model for distributed time lags for Panel ARDL Model data in building the model and estimating the results، with the tests this method contains، and the quarterly data were approved for all variables of the study. The study reached several conclusions، perhaps the most prominent of which is that the impact of political risks was positive with the rate of return on equity in Iraq and this is because of the relationship between return and profit.
(政治风险对在伊拉克和沙特股票市场上市的一些房地产公司股本回报率的影响)
本研究通过提出最重要的房地产概念和详细说明房地产的类型,以及建立一个定量标准模型来测试政治风险影响(投票和问责制(AV)˙ 政治稳定性(PV)˙ 政府效能(GE)˙ 监管质量(RQ)˙ 法律规则(RL)˙ 腐败控制(CC))对房地产行业表现指数的影响,从而了解政治风险变量与房地产行业表现之间的传导机制。在伊拉克和沙特金融市场注册的房地产业公司的股本回报率(ROE))对房地产业公司业绩指数(股本回报率)的影响。)......。本研究采用了集合均值组法(Pooled Mean Group Method,PMG),该方法是面板 ARDL 模型数据分布时滞自回归模型环境的一部分,用于建立模型和估计结果。研究得出了若干结论,其中最突出的可能是政治风险对伊拉克股票回报率的影响是正向的,这是因为回报率与利润之间存在关系。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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