Determination of demand for freight rail transportation. The relationship between the quality of transport services and demand

A. N. Chesnov, A. E. Smirnov, N. Y. Egorova
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Abstract

In the modern world, rail transport plays a huge role in ensuring the economic and social stability of the state. Due to its reliability, accessibility and safety, rail transport is able to meet the needs of a wide variety of population groups and sectors of the economy. One of the important aspects of the functioning of railway transport is its ability to provide efficient and high-quality cargo transportation services.In this regard, the purpose of this study is to identify the relationship between the demand for freight transportation and the level of service in the context of railway infrastructure. We rely on the non-price elasticity method to determine more precisely how changes in the quality of service can the demand for freight rail transportation.To achieve this goal, a number of tasks have been analyzed, such as analyzing the current state of railway transport, studying the possibilities of its growth and development, determining the current needs of the market and assessing the compliance of the services provided with these needs. In addition, the system of forecasting the demand for rail freight, based on the analysis of financial, economic and quantitative indicators, is considered. The first determine the capital costs of upgrading the current state of the infrastructure, focused on the repair and renewal of fixed assets. The latter determine the volume values of the cargo turnover and the average weight of the train. It is also necessary to develop a step-by-step methodology for determining the coefficient of non-price elasticity, to illustrate the dependence of demand for transportation on the level of quality of transport services.All this made it possible to determine how effective and expedient the existing cargo transportation service system is.The choice of this topic is due to the increasing need to increase the stability and reliability of railway transport, increase its accessibility and safety, as well as improve the quality of services provided. Thus, the identification of the relationship between the demand for rail freight and their quality based on the methodology of non-price elasticity contributes to the optimization of railway transport, improving its competitiveness, and stimulates the economic growth of the country.
确定铁路货运需求。运输服务质量与需求之间的关系
在现代社会,铁路运输在确保国家经济和社会稳定方面发挥着巨大作用。由于铁路运输具有可靠性、便捷性和安全性,因此能够满足各类人群和经济部门的需求。铁路运输功能的一个重要方面是其提供高效优质货物运输服务的能力。在这方面,本研究的目的是确定铁路基础设施背景下货物运输需求与服务水平之间的关系。为了实现这一目标,我们分析了一系列任务,如分析铁路运输的现状、研究其增长和发展的可能性、确定当前的市场需求以及评估所提供的服务是否符合这些需求。此外,还考虑了基于金融、经济和定量指标分析的铁路货运需求预测系统。前者决定了提升基础设施现状的资本成本,重点是固定资产的维修和更新。后者决定了货物周转量和列车平均重量的量值。此外,还有必要逐步制定确定非价格弹性系数的方法,以说明运输需求对运输服务质量水平的依赖性。之所以选择这一主题,是因为日益需要提高铁路运输的稳定性和可靠性,增加其便利性和安全性,以及改善所提供服务的质量。因此,根据非价格弹性方法确定铁路货运需求与质量之间的关系,有助于优化铁路运输,提高其竞争力,促进国家经济增长。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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