AI-Forecast: an innovative and practical tool for short-term water demand forecasting

Water Supply Pub Date : 2024-03-19 DOI:10.2166/ws.2024.055
A. Zanfei, Andrea Lombardi, Alberto De Luca, Andrea Menapace
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Abstract

Water management is a major contemporary and future challenge. In an increasing water demand scenario related to climate change, a water distribution system must ensure equal access to water for all users. In this context, a reliable short-term water demand forecasting system is crucial for reliable water management. However, despite the abundance of studies in the scientific literature, few examples highlight complete tools for providing such models to real water utilities and water managers. This study presents AI-Forecast, an innovative tool developed to predict water demand with state-of-art models. Such tool is based on the data-driven logic, and it is designed to provide a complete data-driven chain that starts from the data and arrives to the short-term water demand prediction. AI-Forecast can import data, properly manage them, and assess tasks like outlier detection and missing data imputation. Eventually, it can implement state-of-the-art forecasting models and provide the forecasts. The prediction is shown through an intuitive web interface, which is designed to highlight the major information related to the prediction accuracy. Although this tool does not provide a new prediction algorithm, it proposes a complete data-driven chain that is practically designed to take such models in practice to real water utilities.
人工智能预测:短期水资源需求预测的创新实用工具
水资源管理是当代和未来的一项重大挑战。在与气候变化相关的水资源需求不断增加的情况下,配水系统必须确保所有用户都能平等地获得水资源。在这种情况下,可靠的短期需水预测系统对于可靠的水资源管理至关重要。然而,尽管科学文献中有大量的研究,但很少有实例能突出说明为实际供水设施和水资源管理者提供此类模型的完整工具。本研究介绍了 AI-Forecast,一种利用最新模型预测水资源需求的创新工具。该工具基于数据驱动逻辑,旨在提供从数据到短期需水量预测的完整数据驱动链。AI-Forecast 可以导入数据、妥善管理数据并评估离群点检测和缺失数据估算等任务。最后,它还能实施最先进的预测模型并提供预测结果。预测结果通过一个直观的网络界面显示,该界面旨在突出与预测准确性相关的主要信息。虽然该工具没有提供新的预测算法,但它提出了一个完整的数据驱动链,其设计切实可行,可将此类模型应用到实际的水务设施中。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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