The Failure to Predict the Hamas Attack: Insights from Artificial Intelligence

Q3 Social Sciences

Orbis Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI:10.1016/j.orbis.2024.02.007

Ofira Seliktar

引用次数: 0

Abstract

The failure to anticipate Hamas’s brutal attack on October 7 is multilayered and will be investigated for years to come. However, the preliminary consensus has blamed the konceptcia, the Hebrew word for paradigm, that guided the intelligence and security forces. With the advent of AI and its complex search algorithms, the resultant paradigm was shaped by an input imbalance that depicted Hamas transitioning from its jihadist past to a rational governance player. The politicization of the academic and lay Middle East discourse legitimized resistance to Israel, feeding the bias. Equally, the virtual absence of understanding of the military wing of Hamas and its role in Iran’s Axis of Resistance deepened the imbalance.

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预测哈马斯袭击的失败：人工智能的启示

未能预见哈马斯在 10 月 7 日发动的野蛮袭击是多层面的，在未来数年内都将受到调查。然而，初步共识是将指导情报和安全部队的 "概念"（konceptcia，希伯来语中的范式）归咎于此。随着人工智能及其复杂搜索算法的出现，输入的不平衡塑造了由此产生的范式，它描绘了哈马斯从过去的圣战者过渡到理性治理者的过程。学术界和非专业人士对中东问题讨论的政治化使对以色列的抵抗合法化，助长了偏见。同样，对哈马斯军事部门及其在伊朗抵抗轴心中的作用几乎缺乏了解也加深了这种不平衡。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Orbis SOCIAL SCIENCES, INTERDISCIPLINARY-

CiteScore

1.10

自引率

0.00%

发文量

审稿时长

37 days

期刊介绍： Orbis, the Foreign Policy Research Institute quarterly journal of world affairs, was founded in 1957 as a forum for policymakers, scholars, and the informed public who sought an engaging, thought-provoking debate beyond the predictable, conventional journals of that time. Nearly half a century later, Orbis continues to offer informative, insightful, and lively discourse on the full range of topics relating to American foreign policy and national security, as well as in-depth analysis on important international developments. Orbis readers always know the stories behind the headlines.