Construction and validation of an 18F-FDG-PET/CT-based prognostic model to predict progression-free survival in newly diagnosed multiple myeloma patients.
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Objective: To investigate the relationship between 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (18F-FDG PET/CT) related parameters and the prognosis of multiple myeloma and to establish and validate a prediction model regarding the progression-free survival (PFS) of multiple myeloma.
Methods: A retrospective analysis of 126 newly diagnosed multiple myeloma patients who attended Nanjing Drum Tower Hospital from 2014-2021. All patients underwent PET/CT before treatment and were divided into a training cohort (n = 75) and a validation cohort (n = 51). Multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analysis incorporated PET/CT-related parameters and clinical indicators. A nomogram was established to individually predict PFS in MM patients. The model was evaluated by calculating the C-index and calibration curve.
Results: Here, 4.2 was used as the cut-off value of SUVmax to divide patients into high and low groups. PFS significantly differed between patients in the high-SUVmax group and low-SUVmax group, and SUVmax was an independent predictor of PFS in newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) patients. Univariate and multivariate cox regression analysis suggested that lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), bone marrow plasma cell (BMPC), and SUVmax affected PFS. These factors were incorporated to construct a nomogram model for predicting PFS at 1 and 2 years in NDMM patients. The C-index and calibration curves of the nomogram exhibited good accuracy and consistency, and the DCA curves suggested that the model had good clinical utility.
Conclusion: The PET/CT parameter SUVmax is closely related to the prognosis of myeloma patients. The nomogram constructed in this study based on PET/CT-related parameters and clinical indicators individually predicts the PFS rate of NDMM patients and enables further risk stratification of NDMM patients.
期刊介绍：
Hematology is an international journal publishing original and review articles in the field of general hematology, including oncology, pathology, biology, clinical research and epidemiology. Of the fixed sections, annotations are accepted on any general or scientific field: technical annotations covering current laboratory practice in general hematology, blood transfusion and clinical trials, and current clinical practice reviews the consensus driven areas of care and management.
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