Assessing the Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Unemployment Rate in Nigeria

Okoli, Kingsley Chike, C. T. Okeke
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Abstract

Recent studies have shown that high rate of unemployment as currently witnessed in Nigeria, is one of the factors that can undermine the attainment of goal eight (Decent work and Economic growth) of Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by year 2030. Since foreign direct investment (FDI) is an important factor in creating jobs and improving economic growth, it is considered a veritable tool for reducing the unemployment level. Although there have been studies on FDI and unemployment in literature, there is hardly any study on the impact of FDI on rural and urban unemployment. The study pursued threefold objectives which are to ascertain the impact of FDI on aggregate unemployment in Nigeria; to examine the impact of FDI on urban unemployment rate in Nigeria and to determine the impact of FDI on rural unemployment in Nigeria. The study utilized data from 1990 to 2020 as well as dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) which eliminates problems of endogeneity and serial correlation. The theoretical framework of the study is anchored on the Keynesian theory of unemployment. The result obtained showed that FDI has a significant impact on aggregate and urban unemployment in Nigeria. However, FDI did not impact significantly on rural unemployment in Nigeria. To effectively use FDI to reduce unemployment, the Nigerian government needs to create an enabling business environment, including favorable investment policies, streamlined regulatory procedures, and infrastructure development plans. Encouraging collaboration between foreign investors and local stakeholders, promoting technology transfer, and implementing strategies to enhance the skill levels of the local workforce are also important aspects to consider.
评估外国直接投资对尼日利亚失业率的影响
最近的研究表明,尼日利亚目前的高失业率是影响到 2030 年实现可持续发展目标(SDGs)第八项目标(体面工作和经济增长)的因素之一。由于外国直接投资(FDI)是创造就业机会和改善经济增长的一个重要因素,它被认为是降低失业水平的一个名副其实的工具。虽然文献中有关于外国直接投资和失业问题的研究,但几乎没有关于外国直接投资对农村和城市失业问题影响的研究。这项研究有三个目标,即确定外国直接投资对尼日利亚总失业率的影响;审查外国直接投资对尼日利亚城市失业率的影响;以及确定外国直接投资对尼日利亚农村失业率的影响。研究利用了 1990 年至 2020 年的数据以及动态普通最小二乘法(DOLS),从而消除了内生性和序列相关性问题。研究的理论框架以凯恩斯失业理论为基础。研究结果表明,外国直接投资对尼日利亚的总体失业率和城市失业率有显著影响。然而,外国直接投资对尼日利亚农村失业率的影响不大。为有效利用外国直接投资减少失业,尼日利亚政府需要创造有利的商业环境,包括有利的投资政策、简化的监管程序和基础设施发展计划。鼓励外国投资者与当地利益相关者合作,促进技术转让,实施提高当地劳动力技能水平的战略,也是需要考虑的重要方面。
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