Unraveling the interplay of financial inclusion, stability, and shadow banking in emerging markets

IF 4 3区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This paper fills the momentous gap by explicitly investigating the interplay of financial inclusion, financial stability, and shadow banking in 11 emerging market economies (EMEs) from 2010 to 2021. Employing panel quantile regression approaches, including simultaneous bootstrapped quantile regression and generalized quantile regression, the results indicate that while financial inclusion has a negative impact on financial stability, its impact is less pronounced in countries with high stability. Moreover, shadow banking, whether broadly or narrowly defined, tends to weaken the negative effects of financial inclusion, particularly in EMEs with medium and high levels of financial stability. Finally, Dumitrescu–Hurlin's panel causality test confirms bidirectional causality between financial stability and financial inclusion, financial stability and shadow banking, as well as financial inclusion and shadow banking. These findings highlight the need for policymakers in EMEs to prudently adjust shadow banking regulations to maximize their positive impact on financial inclusion and stability while concurrently minimizing potential risks.

解读新兴市场中金融包容性、稳定性和影子银行的相互作用
摘要 本文通过明确研究 2010 年至 2021 年 11 个新兴市场经济体(EMEs)的金融包容性、金融稳定性和影子银行的相互作用,填补了这一重大空白。采用面板量值回归方法,包括同步引导量值回归和广义量值回归,结果表明,虽然金融包容性对金融稳定性有负面影响,但在稳定性高的国家,其影响并不明显。此外,无论是广义还是狭义的影子银行,都倾向于削弱金融包容性的负面影响,尤其是在金融稳定性处于中等和高等水平的经济、中等收入国家。最后,Dumitrescu-Hurlin 的面板因果检验证实了金融稳定性与金融包容性、金融稳定性与影子银行以及金融包容性与影子银行之间的双向因果关系。这些研究结果突出表明,经济、中等收入国家的政策制定者需要审慎调整影子银行法规,以最大限度地发挥其对金融包容性和稳定性的积极影响,同时最大限度地降低潜在风险。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
4.80
自引率
6.50%
发文量
78
期刊介绍: Economic Change and Restructuring has been accepted for SSCI and will get its first Impact Factor in 2020!Since the early 1990s fundamental changes in the world economy, under the auspices of increasing globalisation, have taken place On one hand, the disappearance of the centrally planned economies and the progressive formation of market-oriented economies, have brought about countless systematic changes, where new economic structures, institutions, competences and skills involve complex processes, changes which are still underway and which necessitate adaptation and restructuring to form competitive market economies. On the other hand, many developing economies are making great strides as regards economic reform and liberalisation, and are emerging as new global players. They show an innovative capacity to position themselves in the global economy and to compete with industrialised countries, which are generally believed to be witnessing the rapid erosion of their established positions. These developments are accompanied by the exacerbation of the world competition. Both processes involve transition and the emerging economies, in searching for a new role and scope for public policies and for a new balance between public and private partnership, seem to currently be converging, especially with respect to the policies needed to create appropriate and effective market institutions and integrated reform policies, and to increase the standards of the population''s education levels. Thus, liberalisation and development policies, in attempting to strike a difficult balance between social and environmental needs, must be integrated more coherently. This complexity calls for new analytical and empirical approaches that can explain these new phenomena, which often go beyond the over-simplified facts and conventional ''wisdom'' that emerged at the start of the transition in the early 1990s. Economic Change and Restructuring (formerly ''Economics of Planning''), by keeping abreast of developments affecting both transitional and emerging economies, is aimed to attract original empirical and policy analysis contributions that are focused on various issues, including macroeconomic analysis, fiscal issues, finance and banking, industrial and trade development, and regional and local development issues. The journal aspires to publish cutting edge research and to serve as a forum for economists and policymakers working in these fields.Officially cited as: Econ Change Restruct
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