Total effects with constrained features

IF 1.6 2区 数学 Q2 COMPUTER SCIENCE, THEORY & METHODS
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Recent studies have emphasized the connection between machine learning feature importance measures and total order sensitivity indices (total effects, henceforth). Feature correlations and the need to avoid unrestricted permutations make the estimation of these indices challenging. Additionally, there is no established theory or approach for non-Cartesian domains. We propose four alternative strategies for computing total effects that account for both dependent and constrained features. Our first approach involves a generalized winding stairs design combined with the Knothe-Rosenblatt transformation. This approach, while applicable to a wide family of input dependencies, becomes impractical when inputs are physically constrained. Our second approach is a U-statistic that combines the Jansen estimator with a weighting factor. The U-statistic framework allows the derivation of a central limit theorem for this estimator. However, this design is computationally intensive. Then, our third approach uses derangements to significantly reduce computational burden. We prove consistency and central limit theorems for these estimators as well. Our fourth approach is based on a nearest-neighbour intuition and it further reduces computational burden. We test these estimators through a series of increasingly complex computational experiments with features constrained on compact and connected domains (circle, simplex), non-compact and non-connected domains (Sierpinski gaskets), we provide comparisons with machine learning approaches and conclude with an application to a realistic simulator.

有限制特征的总效果
摘要 近期的研究强调了机器学习特征重要性度量与总阶灵敏度指数(以下简称总效应)之间的联系。特征相关性和避免无限制排列的需要使这些指数的估计具有挑战性。此外,对于非笛卡尔域还没有成熟的理论或方法。我们提出了四种计算总效应的替代策略,这些策略同时考虑了依赖特征和受限特征。我们的第一种方法是将广义缠绕阶梯设计与 Knothe-Rosenblatt 变换相结合。这种方法虽然适用于多种输入依赖关系,但当输入受到物理约束时,这种方法就变得不切实际了。我们的第二种方法是将扬森估计法与加权因子相结合的 U 统计法。U 统计框架允许推导出该估计器的中心极限定理。然而,这种设计需要大量计算。然后,我们的第三种方法利用导差大大减轻了计算负担。我们也证明了这些估计器的一致性和中心极限定理。我们的第四种方法基于近邻直觉,进一步减轻了计算负担。我们通过一系列越来越复杂的计算实验来测试这些估计器,实验中的特征受限于紧凑和连通的域(圆、单纯形)、非紧凑和非连通的域(Sierpinski 垫圈),我们将这些估计器与机器学习方法进行了比较,最后将其应用于一个现实的模拟器。
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来源期刊
Statistics and Computing
Statistics and Computing 数学-计算机:理论方法
CiteScore
3.20
自引率
4.50%
发文量
93
审稿时长
6-12 weeks
期刊介绍: Statistics and Computing is a bi-monthly refereed journal which publishes papers covering the range of the interface between the statistical and computing sciences. In particular, it addresses the use of statistical concepts in computing science, for example in machine learning, computer vision and data analytics, as well as the use of computers in data modelling, prediction and analysis. Specific topics which are covered include: techniques for evaluating analytically intractable problems such as bootstrap resampling, Markov chain Monte Carlo, sequential Monte Carlo, approximate Bayesian computation, search and optimization methods, stochastic simulation and Monte Carlo, graphics, computer environments, statistical approaches to software errors, information retrieval, machine learning, statistics of databases and database technology, huge data sets and big data analytics, computer algebra, graphical models, image processing, tomography, inverse problems and uncertainty quantification. In addition, the journal contains original research reports, authoritative review papers, discussed papers, and occasional special issues on particular topics or carrying proceedings of relevant conferences. Statistics and Computing also publishes book review and software review sections.
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