Excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic in Algeria: The case of Oran Province

IF 0.3 4区医学 Q4 PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH

Sante Publique Pub Date : 2024-02-23 DOI:10.3917/spub.236.0141

Mourad Raiah, Aicha Henien Djelloul Saiah, Karima Youcef, Mohammed El-Amine Bahmed, Lydia Benrabah, Khadidja Terki

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Objective: This study aimed to estimate excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic in Oran between March 2020 and December 2022.

Method: Monthly all-cause data used to estimate excess mortality were modeled against the pre-pandemic period (January 2011-February 2020). Excess mortality between March 2020 and December 2022 was estimated using a quasi-Poisson regression. Analyses were stratified by age group.

Results: From March 2020 to December 2022, there was a 30% excess mortality rate, corresponding to an average of 112 monthly excess deaths. Observed numbers of deaths were higher than expected for the age groups 20–39, 40–59, 60–79, and 80 and above. The age group 0–19 did not show excess mortality.

Conclusion: The COVID-19 pandemic has been associated with a significant increase in all-cause mortality in Oran. Our results highlight the importance of monitoring all-cause excess mortality as an indicator of the disease burden in situations such as the current pandemic.

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阿尔及利亚 COVID-19 大流行期间的高死亡率：奥兰省的案例

研究目的本研究旨在估算 2020 年 3 月至 2022 年 12 月 COVID-19 大流行期间奥兰的超额死亡率：用于估算超额死亡率的每月全因数据与大流行前（2011 年 1 月至 2020 年 2 月）的数据进行了对比。2020 年 3 月至 2022 年 12 月期间的超额死亡率采用准泊松回归法进行估算。分析按年龄组进行分层：结果：2020 年 3 月至 2022 年 12 月期间，超额死亡率为 30%，相当于平均每月 112 例超额死亡。在 20-39 岁、40-59 岁、60-79 岁和 80 岁及以上年龄组中，观察到的死亡人数高于预期。0-19 岁年龄组没有出现超额死亡率：COVID-19大流行导致奥兰地区全因死亡率显著上升。我们的研究结果突出表明，在当前大流行病等情况下，监测全因超额死亡率作为疾病负担指标的重要性。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Sante Publique PUBLIC, ENVIRONMENTAL & OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH-

CiteScore

0.40

自引率

33.30%

发文量

252

审稿时长

>12 weeks

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