An Analysis of the ANC’s Power at the 55th National Conference of 2022

Naledi Modise
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Abstract

In the lead-up to the centenary of the ANC in 2012, Booysen proposed an analytical framework in which to assess the ANC’s power and ability to retain that power in future. The analytical framework examines ANC to power in four dimensions, the ANC in relation to the people, the state of the ANC organisationally, the ANC electorally and application of said power. The analytical framework indicates milestones to measure whether the party is strengthening or weakening.  This paper adopts Booysen’s analytical framework to examine ANC Power at the time of the 55th National Congress held in 2022. Using the milestones indicated by the framework this paper argues that the ANC has weakened across three of the four indicators namely the ANC in the state, in relation to the people and electorally while it has strengthened organisationally.
2022年第55届全国大会上非国大的权力分析
在2012年非国大百年庆典之前,布瓦森提出了一个分析框架,用以评估非国大的权力和未来保持权力的能力。该分析框架从四个方面考察了非国大的权力:非国大与人民的关系、非国大的组织状况、非国大的选情以及上述权力的应用。分析框架指出了衡量非国大是加强还是削弱的里程碑。 本文采用博伊森的分析框架来研究 2022 年召开第 55 届全国代表大会时非国大的权力。本文利用该框架所指出的里程碑来论证非国大在四个指标中的三个指标上有所削弱,即非国大在国家、与人民的关系和选举方面,而在组织方面则有所加强。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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