The effect of Sharia monetary policy instruments and Islamic bank financing on economic growth and inflation

Fuad Hawari Winarto, I. Beik
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Abstract

Purpose – This study aims to determine the influence of Open Market Operations (Sertifikat Bank Indonesia Syariah, SBIS), Sukuk of Bank Indonesia (Sukuk Bank Indonesia, SukBI), Bank Indonesia Sharia Deposit Facility (Fasilitas Simpanan Bank Indonesia, FASBIS), Islamic Interbank Money Market (IIMM/Pasar Uang Antar Bank Syariah, PUAS), and Islamic Bank Financing on economic growth and inflation in Indonesia. Methodology – This study uses the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM), which uses monthly data from January 2017 to December 2022.Findings – The results of the VECM analysis show that, in the short and long term, the FASBIS and PUAS variables significantly affect economic growth. The Covid-19 pandemic has a significant effect in the short term, whereas Islamic Bank Financing has a significant effect in the long term. In the Inflation model, only FASBIS has a significant short-term effect. In the long-term, FASBIS, PUAS, and Islamic Bank Financing significantly affect inflation. Implications – The results of this research suggest that the Government and Bank Indonesia will need to re-evaluate Sharia Open Market Operations, especially SBIS and SukBI instruments. This is the impact of the estimation results on the Open Market Operation variable, which are not significant, and the IRF results, which are negative in the Economic Growth Model and positive in the Inflation Model, indicating that the Open Market Operation variable actually inhibits economic growth and triggers inflation. Originality – This study discusses the influence of Sharia monetary instruments before and after the Covid-19 pandemic and adds the SukBI instrument as a Sharia monetary instrument.
伊斯兰教法货币政策工具和伊斯兰银行融资对经济增长和通货膨胀的影响
目的--本研究旨在确定公开市场操作(Sertifikat Bank Indonesia Syariah, SBIS)、印尼银行伊斯兰债券(Sukuk Bank Indonesia, SukBI)、印尼银行伊斯兰存款机制(Fasilitas Simpanan Bank Indonesia, FASBIS)、伊斯兰银行间货币市场(IIMM/Pasar Uang Antar Bank Syariah, PUAS)和伊斯兰银行融资对印尼经济增长和通货膨胀的影响。研究方法--本研究采用向量误差修正模型(VECM),使用的是 2017 年 1 月至 2022 年 12 月的月度数据。研究结果--VECM 分析结果表明,从短期和长期来看,FASBIS 和 PUAS 变量对经济增长有显著影响。Covid-19 大流行在短期有显著影响,而伊斯兰银行融资在长期有显著影响。在通货膨胀模型中,只有 FASBIS 有明显的短期影响。从长期来看,FASBIS、PUAS 和伊斯兰银行融资对通货膨胀有重大影响。影响--本研究的结果表明,政府和印尼银行需要重新评估伊斯兰公开市场业务,尤其是伊斯兰债券市场业务(SBIS)和伊斯兰债券市场业务(SukBI)工具。这是对公开市场操作变量的估算结果的影响,估算结果不显著,而 IRF 结果在经济增长模型中为负,在通货膨胀模型中为正,表明公开市场操作变量实际上抑制了经济增长并引发了通货膨胀。独创性 - 本研究讨论了 Covid-19 大流行前后伊斯兰教货币工具的影响,并增加了 SukBI 工具作为伊斯兰教货币工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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