Macroeconomic uncertainty and earnings management: evidence from commodity firms

IF 1.9 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This study examines the relationship between macroeconomic uncertainty and earnings management, using quarterly data of US commodity firms from the period 1990–2019. The findings show that oil and iron firms use both accruals and real activities to decrease earnings in quarters with high basis risk. Earnings management is economically significant. Further investigation provides fine-grained evidence that specific types of uncertainty (economic policy, climate policy, geopolitical) have varying effects on earnings management. The study also provides evidence that earnings management is aimed at giving investors useful information about the firms’ performance during uncertain times. The study contributes to previous research on uncertainty and earnings management. It also informs market participants about the financial reporting quality of commodity firms, and has practical implications for financial reporting regulation in extracting industries.

宏观经济不确定性与收益管理:来自商品公司的证据
摘要 本研究利用 1990-2019 年期间美国大宗商品公司的季度数据,研究了宏观经济不确定性与收益管理之间的关系。研究结果表明,在基础风险较高的季度,石油和钢铁企业会利用应计项目和实际活动来减少收益。收益管理具有经济意义。进一步的调查提供了精细的证据,表明特定类型的不确定性(经济政策、气候政策、地缘政治)对收益管理有不同的影响。研究还提供证据表明,收益管理的目的是在不确定时期为投资者提供有关公司业绩的有用信息。本研究为以往有关不确定性和收益管理的研究做出了贡献。它还向市场参与者介绍了商品公司的财务报告质量,并对采掘业的财务报告监管具有实际意义。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.20
自引率
17.60%
发文量
87
期刊介绍: Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting deals with research involving the interaction of finance with accounting, economics, and quantitative methods, focused on finance and accounting. The papers published present useful theoretical and methodological results with the support of interesting empirical applications. Purely theoretical and methodological research with the potential for important applications is also published. Besides the traditional high-quality theoretical and empirical research in finance, the journal also publishes papers dealing with interdisciplinary topics.
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