What are the main determinants of social expenditure? A panel data approach for EU and OECD countries

IF 1.9 Q2 ECONOMICS
Hacer Simay Karaalp-Orhan, Nurgül Evcim, Fatih Deyneli
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Purpose

The aim of this study is to analyze which socioeconomic factors (economic, demographic, and political) most commonly affect the social expenditure of the European Union (EU) and Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries.

Design/methodology/approach

A panel data fixed-effects model is employed for 34 OECD and 23 EU countries between 2000 and 2020.

Findings

Results indicate that, in all country groups, economic factors have the most significant influence on social expenditures, with income being the primary determinant, particularly in EU countries. The negative impacts of unemployment and inflation underscore the importance of counter-cyclical measures adopted by countries to maintain stability in their social expenditures. The most influential demographic factor is found as the old-age-dependency ratio. While the rule of law affects social expenditure positively, government effectiveness and female labor force participation affect it negatively. The positive effect of Konjunkturforschungsstelle (KOF) indexes shows the globalization effect, which can be attributable to the compensation hypothesis.

Practical implications

Governments enforce inclusive and sustainable policies to boost economic activities and GDP, thus combating inflation and unemployment and regulating the labor market and socioeconomic problems about aging populations and women’s economic participation to control social expenditures. The rule of law and institutional quality will also boost economic growth.

Originality/value

This study focuses on the effects of social expenditures in a broader view within the framework of the three main factors (economic, demographic, political) and attempts to determine the key factors that account for the differences in social expenditure between the OECD and EU countries.

Peer review

The peer review history for this article is available at: https://publons.com/publon/10.1108/IJSE-05-2023-0384

社会支出的主要决定因素是什么?欧盟和经合组织国家的面板数据方法
本研究旨在分析哪些社会经济因素(经济、人口和政治)对欧盟(EU)和经济合作与发展组织(OECD)国家的社会支出产生最常见的影响。研究结果表明,在所有国家组中,经济因素对社会支出的影响最为显著,其中收入是主要决定因素,欧盟国家尤其如此。失业和通货膨胀的负面影响凸显了各国为保持社会支出稳定而采取反周期措施的重要性。影响最大的人口因素是老年受扶养人比率。法治对社会支出产生积极影响,而政府效率和女性劳动力参与率则对社会支出产生消极影响。Konjunkturforschungsstelle (KOF) 指数的正向影响显示了全球化效应,这可以归因于补偿假说。实际意义政府执行包容性和可持续的政策以促进经济活动和国内生产总值,从而打击通货膨胀和失业,调节劳动力市场以及人口老龄化和女性经济参与等社会经济问题,以控制社会支出。本研究在三大因素(经济、人口、政治)的框架内,从更广阔的视角关注社会支出的影响,并试图确定造成经合组织国家和欧盟国家之间社会支出差异的关键因素。同行评议本文的同行评议记录可在以下网址查阅:https://publons.com/publon/10.1108/IJSE-05-2023-0384。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.20
自引率
5.30%
发文量
98
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Social Economics publishes original and peer-reviewed theoretical and empirical research in the field of social economics. Its focus is on the examination and analysis of the interaction between economic activity, individuals and communities. Social economics focuses on the relationship between social action and economies, and examines how social and ethical norms influence the behaviour of economic agents. It is inescapably normative and focuses on needs, rather than wants or preferences, and considers the wellbeing of individuals in communities: it accepts the possibility of a common good rather than conceiving of communities as merely aggregates of individual preferences and the problems of economics as coordinating those preferences. Therefore, contributions are invited which analyse and discuss well-being, welfare, the nature of the good society, governance and social policy, social and economic justice, social and individual economic motivation, and the associated normative and ethical implications of these as they express themselves in, for example, issues concerning the environment, labour and work, education, the role of families and women, inequality and poverty, health and human development.
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