N. K. Semenova, Yu. A. Simonov, A. V. Khristoforov
{"title":"Extended Streamflow Prediction for Russian Rivers","authors":"N. K. Semenova, Yu. A. Simonov, A. V. Khristoforov","doi":"10.3103/s1068373923120026","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<h3 data-test=\"abstract-sub-heading\">Abstract</h3><p>The possibility of extended predictions of the Russian river streamflow is considered based on dynamic approach, in which the HBV-96 water-balance runoff formation model is used jointly with the extended ensemble meteorological forecast obtained with the INM5 model. Twelve river basins located in different climatic and physiographic zones of Russia were selected for analysis. The average annual and average monthly discharges, as well as the annual maximum streamflow, were predicted with a lead time of 1–5 years. The test on the reanalysis data for the period from 1980 to 2020 has shown that the applied dynamic approach makes it possible to adequately assess possible interannual fluctuations in the streamflow and its intraannual distribution. The ensemble of forecasts of the annual and maximum streamflow for the period 2023–2026 obtained using the HBV-96 and INM5 models is consistent with the data on the water regime of the analyzed rivers.</p>","PeriodicalId":1,"journal":{"name":"Accounts of Chemical Research","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":16.4000,"publicationDate":"2024-02-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Accounts of Chemical Research","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3103/s1068373923120026","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"化学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"CHEMISTRY, MULTIDISCIPLINARY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
The possibility of extended predictions of the Russian river streamflow is considered based on dynamic approach, in which the HBV-96 water-balance runoff formation model is used jointly with the extended ensemble meteorological forecast obtained with the INM5 model. Twelve river basins located in different climatic and physiographic zones of Russia were selected for analysis. The average annual and average monthly discharges, as well as the annual maximum streamflow, were predicted with a lead time of 1–5 years. The test on the reanalysis data for the period from 1980 to 2020 has shown that the applied dynamic approach makes it possible to adequately assess possible interannual fluctuations in the streamflow and its intraannual distribution. The ensemble of forecasts of the annual and maximum streamflow for the period 2023–2026 obtained using the HBV-96 and INM5 models is consistent with the data on the water regime of the analyzed rivers.
期刊介绍:
Accounts of Chemical Research presents short, concise and critical articles offering easy-to-read overviews of basic research and applications in all areas of chemistry and biochemistry. These short reviews focus on research from the author’s own laboratory and are designed to teach the reader about a research project. In addition, Accounts of Chemical Research publishes commentaries that give an informed opinion on a current research problem. Special Issues online are devoted to a single topic of unusual activity and significance.
Accounts of Chemical Research replaces the traditional article abstract with an article "Conspectus." These entries synopsize the research affording the reader a closer look at the content and significance of an article. Through this provision of a more detailed description of the article contents, the Conspectus enhances the article's discoverability by search engines and the exposure for the research.