The Bitcoin price and Bitcoin price uncertainty: Evidence of Bitcoin price volatility

IF 1.8 4区 经济学 Q2 BUSINESS, FINANCE
Nezir Köse, Hakan Yildirim, Emre Ünal, Boqiang Lin
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This study examines the Bitcoin price by taking into account global factors, including the Chicago Board Options Exchange's Market Volatility Index (VIX), the US dollar index, the gold price, the oil price, and Bitcoin price volatility. The analysis is conducted using the structural vector autoregression (SVAR) model. The variance decomposition findings revealed that the influence of the VIX on the Bitcoin price was initially restricted, but progressively intensified over time. Among the indicators, Bitcoin price volatility had the highest explanatory share in both daily and weekly data analysis. The impulse response functions demonstrated a statistically significant inverse relationship between the VIX and the Bitcoin price. Furthermore, the analysis revealed that the Bitcoin price was mostly impacted by its own volatility. This implies that investing in Bitcoin requires a certain level of risk-taking.

比特币价格和比特币价格的不确定性:比特币价格波动的证据
本研究将芝加哥期权交易所的市场波动指数(VIX)、美元指数、黄金价格、石油价格和比特币价格波动等全球因素考虑在内,对比特币价格进行了研究。分析采用结构向量自回归(SVAR)模型进行。方差分解结果显示,VIX 指数对比特币价格的影响最初是有限的,但随着时间的推移逐渐增强。在日数据和周数据分析中,比特币价格波动性在各项指标中的解释份额最高。脉冲响应函数表明,VIX 与比特币价格之间在统计上存在显著的反向关系。此外,分析表明,比特币价格主要受其自身波动的影响。这意味着投资比特币需要承担一定程度的风险。
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来源期刊
Journal of Futures Markets
Journal of Futures Markets BUSINESS, FINANCE-
CiteScore
3.70
自引率
15.80%
发文量
91
期刊介绍: The Journal of Futures Markets chronicles the latest developments in financial futures and derivatives. It publishes timely, innovative articles written by leading finance academics and professionals. Coverage ranges from the highly practical to theoretical topics that include futures, derivatives, risk management and control, financial engineering, new financial instruments, hedging strategies, analysis of trading systems, legal, accounting, and regulatory issues, and portfolio optimization. This publication contains the very latest research from the top experts.
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