Escaping from “dream city”? Housing price, talent, and urban innovation in China

IF 6.5 1区 经济学 Q1 DEVELOPMENT STUDIES
Hengyu Gu , Yangyang Jie
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Abstract

While there has been considerable academic discourse surrounding urban housing prices, talent, and innovation, the mediating role of housing prices in influencing urban innovation through talent has received limited attention. Utilising a city-level panel dataset covering the period of 2005–2020, we investigate how housing prices affect urban innovation in Chinese cities, focusing on how this influence is mediated by talent concentration. The spatial analysis results demonstrate that the high-value areas of housing prices, talent concentration, and urban innovation are concentrated in urban agglomerations along the eastern coastal regions and provincial capital cities in the central and western areas, presenting spatial spillovers and spatial unevenness. The econometric analysis reveals a positive influence of talent concentration on urban innovation but negatively affects urban innovation through talent concentration. This negative mediating effect becomes more pronounced after 2010 and varies across city groups. In cities with an urban population below 0.291 million, housing prices positively affect innovation mediated by talent. However, the mediating effect turns negative in cities with an urban population above 1.243 million. These findings have significant theoretical and policy implications for comprehending the implicit influence of the housing market on urban development through the lens of talent concentration.

逃离 "梦想之城"?中国的房价、人才与城市创新
尽管围绕城市房价、人才和创新的学术讨论相当多,但房价通过人才影响城市创新的中介作用却受到了有限的关注。利用 2005-2020 年的城市面板数据集,我们研究了房价如何影响中国城市的创新,并重点探讨了人才集聚对房价影响的中介作用。空间分析结果表明,房价、人才集聚和城市创新的高价值区域集中在东部沿海地区的城市群和中西部地区的省会城市,呈现出空间溢出效应和空间不均衡性。计量分析表明,人才集聚对城市创新有正向影响,但通过人才集聚对城市创新有负向影响。这种负向中介效应在 2010 年之后变得更加明显,并且在不同城市群之间存在差异。在城市人口低于 29.1 万的城市中,房价对以人才为中介的创新产生正向影响。然而,在城市人口超过 124.3 万的城市,这种中介效应转为负向。这些发现对于从人才集聚的角度理解住房市场对城市发展的隐性影响具有重要的理论和政策意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
10.50
自引率
10.30%
发文量
151
审稿时长
38 days
期刊介绍: Habitat International is dedicated to the study of urban and rural human settlements: their planning, design, production and management. Its main focus is on urbanisation in its broadest sense in the developing world. However, increasingly the interrelationships and linkages between cities and towns in the developing and developed worlds are becoming apparent and solutions to the problems that result are urgently required. The economic, social, technological and political systems of the world are intertwined and changes in one region almost always affect other regions.
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