The Impact of Economic Policy Uncertainty on Systemic Risk in the Fintech Industry: Evidence from Crisis Events and the COVID-19 Pandemic

A. Maghyereh, Jinxin Cui
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Abstract

This paper investigates the effect of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on the systemic risk of the fintech industry. To achieve this goal, we first estimate the evolution of system-wide systemic risk using the CatFin method. We further examine whether EPU significantly affects systemic risk. Our findings demonstrate that the systemic risk of the fintech industry is time-variant and sensitive to major crisis events. Systemic risk tends to increase after major crises, especially the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. EPU has a considerable impact on systemic risk, notably during periods of turmoil.

经济政策不确定性对金融科技行业系统性风险的影响:来自危机事件和 COVID-19 大流行病的证据
本文研究了经济政策不确定性(EPU)对金融科技行业系统性风险的影响。为实现这一目标,我们首先使用 CatFin 方法估算了全系统系统性风险的演变。我们进一步研究了 EPU 是否会对系统风险产生重大影响。我们的研究结果表明,金融科技行业的系统性风险具有时变性,对重大危机事件非常敏感。在重大危机发生后,尤其是 COVID-19 大流行爆发后,系统性风险往往会增加。EPU 对系统性风险有相当大的影响,尤其是在动荡时期。
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